*Defisit APBN bertambah, hutang negara bertambah, pengangguran bertambah,
jumlah penduduk miskin bertambah, tetapi NKRI naik kelas menjadi ”upper
middle class”, apakah ini bukan ibarat murid sekolah dinaikan kelas dengan
rapport merah?*

https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2020/07/15/government-lawmakers-set-2021-state-budget-deficit-at-up-to-4-7-of-gdp.html
*Government, lawmakers set 2021 state budget deficit at up to 4.7% of GDP*




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   Adrian Wail Akhlas

   The Jakarta Post

Jakarta   /   Wed, July 15, 2020   /   01:12 pm

Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati (front) hands over the government's
response to the draft 2021 state budget to House of Representatives Speaker
Puan Maharani (right) during a plenary meeting in Jakarta on June 18.
(Antara/Muhammad Adimaja



The government and the House of Representatives have agreed in principle on
2021 state budget assumptions with a deficit of 4.7 percent of gross
domestic product (GDP) to bolster the economy from the coronavirus-induced
recession.

The budget deficit is expected to reach 3.21 percent to 4.17 percent of GDP
next year, but the government can widen the fiscal deficit to 4.7 percent
if needed to fully support the recovery, said House Budget Committee vice
chairman Muhidin Mohamad Said.

“The government’s 2021 work plan is being directed to support economic
recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, boost human development, as well as
industrial and tourism development,” among other things, he told a plenary
meeting on Tuesday.

President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo will announce the detailed 2021 state
budget, including exact revenue and expenditure figures, during his annual
speech on Aug. 16.

The government and the House agreed that the assumption underpinning the
2021 state budget would see state spending reach 13.11 percent to 15.17
percent of GDP, while tax revenue is expected to reach 8.25 percent to 8.63
percent and nontax income 1.6 percent to 2.3 percent of GDP.

Indonesia’s economy could enter a recession in the third quarter this year
as the government expects GDP to shrink by 3.8 percent to 5.1 percent in
the second quarter and to decline by a further 1 percent in the third
quarter.

If the economy shrinks in the third quarter, it will mark Indonesia’s first
recession since the 1998 Asian financial crisis. A recession happens when
an economy shrinks in two consecutive quarters.

“Indonesia’s economic outlook will now depend on the ability to stimulate
recovery after a drastic deterioration in economic activity,” Finance
Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati told lawmakers in a hearing on July 9.

She expects the economy to contract 0.4 percent this year under the
worst-case scenario or grow 1 percent under the baseline scenario.

The government expects the fiscal deficit to reach 6.34 percent this year
as it allocates Rp 695.2 trillion (US$48.23 billion) in stimuli to
strengthen the country’s healthcare response and bolster the economy amid
the pandemic.

Officials are now looking to accelerate spending to boost economic recovery
and strengthen the country’s virus response after receiving criticism from
President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo as well as from business and health
communities for the slow disbursement of stimulus funds.

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