Dear Dan,

I don't get the whole last thread.  If we fertilize more than 2% of
the Southern ocean, we will over chill the area by more than 2 C.  So
getting to 10, 15, 20, 50 per cent or more of the CO2 build up
sequestered is rather fantasy unless we are prepared for an ice age.

We have actual field data to support the over cooling (http://
infohost.nmt.edu/~oliver/wingenter_pub.html; not all of which is my
own) plus model results (biogeochemical POP to be submitted in Jan or
Feb 2009).  What I am saying is the whole idea of massive OIF will
never work.  Only less than 1% of the Southern ocean can be iron
fertilized.

What we need to be doing is protecting against Climate Terrorism or
wanna be dogooders (or even carbon credit profiteers, dogooders for
profit).  Imagine some rich prince in Dubai that has a skyscraper he
would like to protect and would probably like the sea level to stay
just where it is, one or two meters below Dubai. May be even receding
a bit. I bet his cousin probably has a few oil tankers docked idol at
this time.  Oil is low, Somali pirate are not.  Gee, iron sulfate is
pretty cheap now too.  Next thing you know we have an ice age.  The
Southern Ocean has had a critical impact on glacial periods and Sulfur
has been a big part of it.  Too much iron in the wrong hands could
chill the region 10 C or more and change the entire dynamics,
atmosphere and ocean.  Even 2% iron addition is too much.

 CO2 sequestration by OIF will never work but fertilizing of 1% or
less of the Southern Ocean could stabilize the Antarctic ice sheets.


Sincerely,

Oliver Wingenter

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