I think you're right on the button with this John. Global famine
is going to be the ultimate wake up call. Unfortunately FAO
and others predict european and north american harvests
to increase for at least 10 years, which will mask what's
happening to yields in southern africa etc. as far as global
wheat price is concerned.

This is why I think for now the messages have to be positive
and obviously doable:

(As per the book "The Tipping Point", the psychological
environment doesn't help doom messages to be "sticky".)

- early emissions reductions of HFC23 and other short-lived forcings

- priority to energy efficiency, cement sector, aluminium recycling
etc

- opportunties in localisation

- lots of research/pilots on CCS, geoengineering, land-atmosphere etc

- focus on green growth and technology transfer

- attention to land-atmosphere interactions and flood prevention

Hopefully there will be no deal in Copenhagen except on short-lived
forcings, which will ramp up the pressure for a good deal in Mexico
2010.

Ray

On Jun 27, 10:16 pm, John Nissen <[email protected]> wrote:
> When it comes to the prospect of starvation, all other issues will
> become secondary.  Widespread crop failure may be the first major impact

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