Dear Mike:
Exactly!
On Sep 17, 2009, at 1:04 PM, Mike MacCracken wrote:

>
> Holding off on SRM until Greenland is rapidly losing mass, methane is
> pouring from the thawing permafrost, and Arctic sea ice is only  
> present in
> the depths of winter (so much biodiversity is extinct or virtually  
> so) is
> likely too late to reverse these effects--so what is the point. No  
> question
> we must mitigate all that we can, but holding off on geoengineering  
> until
> all is nearly lost is like waiting to help those facing severe climate
> impacts until they are malnourished and near death--the intervention  
> must be
> much greater and costly (i.e., many of the most vulnerable will  
> already have
> died) and may well not even save those who remain (and certainly not  
> their
> culture and heritage). The situation is already so serious in some  
> locations
> that it seems to me those concerned about the Earth and its people  
> should be
> advocating, in addition to very strong mitigation, aggressive  
> research and
> even a low-level start to geoengineering in order to stave off  
> getting to
> the emergency situation (and, of course, we may only know a  
> situation is an
> emergency one well after that point is reached, or at least  
> committed to
> once ocean inertia allows the climate to catch up). Indeed, it seems  
> to me
> that arguing one waits is saying that the way to get the world to act
> strongly enough on mitigation is to give them a taste of the very  
> worst that
> can happen and then trying to pull back--so keep working to lift the  
> foot
> off the accelerator as the climate is accelerating toward the  
> likely, but
> unknown, end of the road, and plan on hitting your brakes so hard  
> that you
> will stop even after your front end is over the edge of the  
> precipice (sorry
> to mix metaphors).
>
> Tom Wigley's approach was to use geoengineering as a way to minimize  
> overall
> costs of mitigation, so slowing mitigation a bit and making it up with
> geoengineering. It seems to me that we need to be doing all we  
> practically
> can on mitigation (and I know "practically" is the qualifier--I'd  
> say up to
> a few % of GDP) and use geoengineering in conjunction with  
> adaptation to
> alleviate the large impacts that have started to show or likely lie  
> just
> ahead. So, don't make geoengineering subject to what is done on  
> mitigation
> (or let mitigation rely on geoengineering), but consider  
> geoengineering a
> complement to adaptation, holding off on it until other adaptive  
> efforts are
> overwhelmed (as is emerging now as the situation in the Arctic, etc.).
>
> Best, Mike MacCracken
>
> On 9/17/09 11:41 AM, "Andrew Lockley" <[email protected]>  
> wrote:
>
>>
>> For the avoidance of doubt, a motion passed at conference is NOT a
>> policy statement.  However, it is a very good indicator that FoE will
>> shortly be bringing forward a strong policy.
>>
>> My money is on it saying:
>>
>> 1) Geoengineering is not an excuse not to mitigate
>> 2) We should engage in atmospheric carbon reduction in the medium  
>> term
>> 3) We should research SRM geoengineering as a possible last resort
>> 4) We should control and regulate field trials
>>
>> A
>>
>> 2009/9/17 jim woolridge <[email protected]>:
>>>
>>> Andrew: this is something of a great leap forward--Friends of the
>>> Earth UK (as it then was) was very fast out of the traps re Climate
>>> Change in the late '80s and has played a major role in bringing the
>>> issue to public attention in the UK; it's good to see them move on
>>> from the sterility of the emissions reduction alone policy.   
>>> That's a
>>> problem of being an early adopter--it is easy to get stuck in place
>>> with your once-new breakthrough turned old and stale.
>>>
>>> I seem to remember you mentioning some months ago that such a motion
>>> would be put to the FoE conference so kudos to all those who  
>>> helped to
>>> bring this about; it provides a welcome, & necessary, counterbalance
>>> to Lomborg et al!
>>>
>>> On Sep 15, 5:21 pm, Andrew Lockley <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>> The following motion was passed at Friends of the Earth (England,
>>>> Wales and Northern Ireland) conference:
>>>>
>>>> A
>>>> PS There may have been some minor amendments to the wording - I
>>>> apologise if it's not the latest version.
>>>>
>>>> Conference notes
>>>> 1)      The failure to control emissions of greenhouse gases to  
>>>> date
>>>> 2)      The rising global temperature
>>>> 3)      The ever worsening risk of breaching the 2C limit
>>>> 4)      The commencement of feedback effects such as Arctic  
>>>> shrinkage
>>>> and Arctic methane release
>>>> 5)      The emerging discipline of Œgeoengineering¹, which seeks to
>>>> directly reduce global warming
>>>> 6)      The belief held by some scientists that climate change  
>>>> cannot
>>>> be safely controlled without geoengineering
>>>> 7)      That geoengineering consists of two distinct disciplines:
>>>> carbon sequestration (e.g. biochar burial) and solar radiation
>>>> management (e.g. stratospheric aerosol injection)
>>>> 8)      The controversy surrounding some geoengineering techniques
>>>>
>>>> MOTION
>>>> Conference calls on the board to:
>>>>
>>>> 1)      Consider whether or not geoengineering is necessary or
>>>> desirable as a part of the solution to climate change  either now  
>>>> or
>>>> in future
>>>> 2)      Establish a stated and scientifically robust policy on
>>>> geoengineering
>>>> 3)      Consider the merits and shortcomings of various  
>>>> geoengineering
>>>> techniques.
>>>> 4)      Clearly establish a position on geoengineerinng field tests
>>>>
>>>
>>
>>>
>
>
>
> >

Bill Fulkerson, Senior Fellow
Institute for a Secure and Sustainable Environment
University of Tennessee
311 Conference Center Bldg.
Knoxville, TN 37996-4138
[email protected]
865-974-9221, -1838 FAX
Home
865-988-8084; 865-680-0937 CELL
2781 Wheat Road, Lenoir City, TN 37771





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