A number of people have argued today that a research budget for
geoengineering should be 100% focused on SRM, or nearly so.  A few of
the reasons given:

"[CDR] is just not at all likely to make an important contribution to
limiting climate change until global emissions are brought down a good
bit through efficiency.   With global C emissions nearing 10 GtC/yr
and rising, working on approaches that at maximum might make it up to
sequestering 1-2 GtC/yr is just premature--we need to take other steps
first."

"I think CDR has to be viewed as a medium- to long-term strategy.
Second, and related, as currently conceived, the deployment of CDR
techniques will depend to a great extent on the policy context, in
particular the existence of mandatory and robust carbon markets - as
we are all aware, these are not likely to develop in the near future.
"

Ron says, which I support: "Oliver calls out CDR in the context of
some possibilities that are neither CDR or SRM. I would lump these
possibilities with CDR and reserve perhaps 15-20% for those. Rationale
- need for low cost and speed, but also need buy-in from CDR-folk. Any
big activity will suffer politically .if CDR is not coupled with SRM,
and if there is not a darn good reason for leaving something out. One
option alone would be a disaster, especially if theri effects can be
shown to be additive and not duplicative. "

Without going in to which CDR techniques should be prioritized, I
think its worth a few simple observations:

- Just because CDR is "slow-acting" doesn't mean we should be slow to
deploy it.  In fact, one could make exactly the opposite argument.
Remember, we do need to get the carbon out of the atmosphere-- SRM
doesn't solve that.
- The lack of effective energy and carbon legislation and the policy
that they will drive means that there is even less market capital to
flow into carbon solutions, either via private equity or venture
capital.  Government bridge funding into quality research for CDR is
even more warranted under the current circumstances--not less.
- Funding research into large scale SRM without some funding earmarked
for CDR as well seems politically naive, and is sure to reflect the
wrong stance towards band-aids that don't address the underlying root
causes.  Furthermore, dividing the GE community against itself by
proposing research budgets which marginalize a large portion of us
also seems unwise--we need to be working together.  Right?
- Lastly-- $10M is a small budget.  It's insufficient for the kind of
serious research that any of the major techniques in either SRM or CDR
will ultimately need.  However, it would be invaluable as seed funding
for credible research consortia assembled around the key initiatives
in various area.  $1-2M seed grants for perhaps 4 of the most
reputable techniques, heavy on initial modeling work, with additional
funding for the social sciences and for geoengineering governance and
policy efforts seems sensible.

Dan




The carbon that goes in the atmosphere

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