Should/could this logic extend to CDR?  Why (not)? - Greg

Researchers warn that technology that could stop global warming must stay out 
of private hands
Anne C. Mulkern, E&E reporter
Published: Wednesday, April 18, 2012
LAGUNA NIGUEL, Calif. -- Researchers working on a technology they say could 
stop global warming want the government to keep it out of private hands, a lead 
investigator said this week.

David Keith, a Harvard University professor and an adviser on energy to 
Microsoft founder Bill Gates, said he and his colleagues are researching 
whether the federal government could ban patents in the field of solar 
radiation.

The technology, also known as geoengineering, involves a kind of manipulation 
of the climate. Shooting sulfur -- a reflective material -- into the 
stratosphere could compensate for the warming effect of carbon dioxide and cool 
the planet, Keith said.

It could be very effective but also has the potential to provoke conflict 
between nations, Keith said.

"This is technology that allows any country to affect the whole climate in 
gigantic ways, which has literally potential to lead to wars," Keith said. "It 
has this sort of giant and frightening leverage."

Keith spoke about the technology and his work on climate and energy Monday at 
Fortune magazine's Brainstorm Green conference. The Harvard professor of 
applied physics and public policy runs the philanthropic Fund for Innovative 
Energy and Climate Research.

Gates began funding that group out of his personal wealth after meeting with 
Keith and other advisers on climate. The fund, which has spent $4.6 million 
since 2007, is bankrolling the research into solar radiation.

Keith began studying solar radiation about 20 years ago, "when no one else was 
working on it," he said. Now others are investigating it, "the taboo has been 
broken and there's suddenly a fair amount of research happening and people are 
beginning to think more seriously about it."

Could the government ban patents?

With people talking about it more openly, some researchers believe it's time to 
make sure precautions are taken to prevent international conflict. Some of his 
colleagues last week traveled to Washington, D.C., where they discussed whether 
the U.S. Patent Office could ban patents on the technology, Keith said.

"We think it's very dangerous for these solar radiation technologies, it's 
dangerous to have it be privatized," Keith said. "The core technologies need to 
be public domain."

Those familiar with patent rules, he said, described it as mostly uncharted 
territory. "There's not much legal precedent," Keith said. "Nuclear weapons are 
a partial precedent." The United States could not ban patents in other 
countries but has influence, he explained.

"Patents are mostly symbolic in this area anyways," he said. "The issue is to 
try and find ways to lower potential tensions between countries around these 
technologies by sending signals that it's going to be as transparent as 
possible."

In addition to potentially stoking international political problems, the 
technology carries other risks. The particles could hold the Earth's 
temperatures constant, Keith said, but that has side effects.

"If you keep increasing the amount of carbon dioxide, and you keep also 
increasing the amount of sulfur in the stratosphere, you can hold the surface 
temperature constant," Keith said. "All sorts of other things begin to go more 
and more wrong as you have more and more CO2 in the atmosphere.

"So this is not a perfect substitute," Keith said, "but it might be a very 
effective way to reduce risk over the next half-century."

The work on solar radiation is one part of energy research Keith is involved 
in. He also runs a startup called Carbon Engineering, which is trying to build 
the hardware to capture carbon out of the air. The company has received about 
$3.5 million from Gates and has spent about $6 million total.

Lack of a broad social consensus

At the conference, where many are talking about innovations, Keith warned that 
those won't be enough on their own to stop climate change from becoming a 
severe problem.

"No technical fix solves this problem without some sort of broad, social 
consensus that the problem is worth solving," Keith said. "I don't think we're 
there yet.

"It's not a question of if the politicians are screwing up," he added. "Yes, 
they are, but really, we have not convinced enough of our fellow citizens that 
they really should take this problem seriously."

That involves getting people to think about their great-grandchildren as well 
as people in other countries, he said.

Keith also spoke critically about what the country has done so far on climate. 
People are involved in symbolic actions instead of meaningful ones, he said, 
like focusing on producing better plastic instead of looking at the really big 
sources of carbon emissions, like airplane travel.

In the United States, about $260 billion in public and private dollars was 
spent last year on clean energy, which is about 0.4 percent of gross domestic 
product, Keith said. With that kind of spending, "you should expect to really 
see the brakes go on" greenhouse gas levels.

"Except emissions were up 7 percent in 2010 and almost certainly more last 
year," Keith said.

That means either that the view that cutting emissions should be easy is wrong, 
or that the way the money has been spent is not effective, he said, "or both."

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