http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012JD017508.shtml


JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 117, D13209, 20 PP., 2012
doi:10.1029/2012JD017508

Climate response of the South Asian monsoon system to anthropogenic aerosols
Key Points

   - While BC can warm the atmosphere, we find anthropogenic aerosols
   mostly cool it
   - Local anthropogenic aerosols reduce the mean South Asian summer
   monsoon rainfall
   - Decreased aerosol emission from local fire sources increase rainfall
   over S Asia

Dilip Ganguly

Climate Physics, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland,
Washington, USA

Philip J. Rasch

Climate Physics, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland,
Washington, USA

Hailong Wang

Climate Physics, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland,
Washington, USA

Jin-Ho Yoon

Climate Physics, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland,
Washington, USA

The equilibrium climate response to the total effects (direct, indirect and
semi-direct effects) of aerosols arising from anthropogenic and biomass
burning emissions on the South Asian summer monsoon system is studied using
a coupled atmosphere-slab ocean model. Our results suggest that
anthropogenic and biomass burning aerosols generally induce a reduction in
mean summer monsoon precipitation over most parts of the Indian
subcontinent, strongest along the western coastline of the Indian peninsula
and eastern Nepal region, but modest increases also occur over the north
western part of the subcontinent. While most of the noted reduction in
precipitation is triggered by increased emissions of aerosols from
anthropogenic activities, modest increases in the north west are mostly
associated with decreases in local emissions of aerosols from forest fire
and grass fire sources. Anthropogenic aerosols from outside Asia also
contribute to the overall reduction in precipitation but the dominant
contribution comes from aerosol sources within Asia. Local emissions play a
more important role in the total rainfall response to anthropogenic aerosol
sources during the early monsoon period, whereas both local as well as
remote emissions of aerosols play almost equally important roles during the
later part of the monsoon period. While precipitation responses are
primarily driven by local aerosol forcing, regional surface temperature
changes over the region are strongly influenced by anthropogenic aerosols
from sources further away (non-local changes). Changes in local
anthropogenic organic and black carbon emissions by as much as a factor of
two (preserving their ratio) produce the same basic signatures in the
model's summer monsoon temperature and precipitation responses.
_______________
Ken Caldeira

Carnegie Institution for Science
Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
+1 650 704 7212 [email protected]
http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab  @kencaldeira

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