Anyone for GE? - Greg

Environmental Research Letters<http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/> Volume 8 
<http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8> Number 1 
<http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1>

Steven J Davis et al 2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 011001 
doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/011001<http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/011001>

Rethinking wedges
OPEN ACCESS

Steven J Davis1,2, Long Cao2,3, Ken Caldeira2 and Martin I Hoffert4

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1 Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, 
CA 92697, USA
2 Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution of Washington, Stanford, 
CA 94305, USA
3 Department of Earth Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 
Province, 310027, People's Republic of China
4 Department of Physics, New York University, New York, NY 10003, USA

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Abstract

Stabilizing CO2 emissions at current levels for fifty years is not consistent 
with either an atmospheric CO2 concentration below 500 ppm or global 
temperature increases below 2 °C. Accepting these targets, solving the climate 
problem requires that emissions peak and decline in the next few decades, and 
ultimately fall to near zero. Phasing out emissions over 50 years could be 
achieved by deploying on the order of 19 'wedges', each of which ramps up 
linearly over a period of 50 years to ultimately avoid 1 GtC y−1 of CO2 
emissions. But this level of mitigation will require affordable carbon-free 
energy systems to be deployed at the scale of tens of terawatts. Any hope for 
such fundamental and disruptive transformation of the global energy system 
depends upon coordinated efforts to innovate, plan, and deploy new 
transportation and energy systems that can provide affordable energy at this 
scale without emitting CO2 to the atmosphere.

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