Posters note: 'accidental geoengineering' is already occurring due to trop
aerosols, and changes in emissions background are not being fully
considered by legislators and some scientists.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50459/abstract

Keywords:

climate extremes;aerosols;climate change;Europe;ECHAM5-HAM[1] This study
investigates changes in extreme temperature and precipitation events under
different future scenarios of anthropogenic aerosol emissions (i.e., SO2,
black and organic carbon) simulated with the ECHAM5-HAM global climate
model with focus on Europe. The simulations include a maximum feasible
aerosol reduction (MFR) scenario, a CLEmod scenario where Europe implements
the MFR scenario, but the rest of the world follows the current legislation
scenario and a greenhouse gas scenario following SRES B2. Strongest changes
relative to the year 2000 are projected for the MFR scenario in which the
global aerosol reduction greatly enforces the general warming effect due to
greenhouse gases and results in significant increases of temperature and
precipitation extremes in Europe. Regional warming effects can also be
identified from aerosol reductions under the CLEmod scenario. This becomes
most obvious in the increase of the hottest summer day-time temperatures in
Northern Europe.

J. Sillmann
L. Pozzoli
E. Vignati
S. Kloster
J. Feichter

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