Well done, David. Your article has interesting perspectives on the main possibilities for model-measurement disagreement. Just eyeballing the video where (Rahmdorf's?) volcanic/solar/ENSO-attributed temperature swings are removed, it seems that ENSO is associated with the plurality of the interannual signal in the last 15 years. We know that models struggle to (re-)produce realistic ENSOs. It would be interesting to examine what happens when models, e.g., miss a La Nina: to what extent do they overestimate global surface T vs. put more heat into the ocean as observed? It's hard to criticize a model for missing ENSO as long as it captures the ocean heat storage trend.
cz Le samedi 11 mai 2013 10:59:41 UTC-7, David Appell a écrit : > > I just wrote an article for the Yale Forum on the temperature "hiatus": > > "W[h]ither Global Warming? Has It Slowed Down?" The Yale Forum on Climate > Change and the Media, May 7, 2013. > > http://www.yaleclimatemediaforum.org/2013/05/wither-global-warming-has-it-slowed-down/ > > -- > David Appell, independent science writer > e: david....@gmail.com <javascript:> > w: http://www.davidappell.com > m: Salem, OR USA > > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering?hl=en. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out.
