I think it's important to distinguish between the effects of advocacy and
the inertia of the energy system.  I believe the inertia is huge relative
to the effects of advocacy because of the tremendous switching costt of
infrastructure, distribution, power systems.  Advocacy affects choices at
the margins but consumers and businesses start to balk as soon as the cost
effect becomes significant. Even if ExxonMobil had never paid a climate
skeptic a dime, we would still have an energy system in which fossil fuel
emissions are dominant.


---
Fred Zimmerman
Geoengineering IT!
Bringing together the worlds of geoengineering and information technology
GE NewsFilter: http://geoengineeringIT.net:8080


On Sat, Jun 1, 2013 at 12:33 PM, Alan Robock <[email protected]>wrote:

> Dear All,
>
> I also was at the NASA Ames meeting. It was my first geoengineering
> meeting, and it was there that I was struck with the very enthusiastic
> endorsement of geoengineering as a solution to global warming by people who
> did not seem to be aware of the potential negative impacts. But Lane and
> Kheshgi were not among those who were blindly advocating geoengineering, as
> I remember it. I agree with Clive that the reason we are even considering
> this Plan B is that Exxon and other fossil fuel companies have had a
> dedicated campaign to deny anthropogenic global warming, and that AEI has
> been part of this campaign, and that if they were to now advocate
> mitigation we would not be nearly as interested in geoengineering. But it
> was not such a black and white discussion at the Ames meeting – it was more
> of a general discussion of geoengineering and a learning opportunity for
> many.
>
> It was at the Ames meeting that I wrote down my 20 reasons why
> geoengineering may be a bad idea, as I listened to two days of
> presentations. (My research program since then has been to investigate
> those reasons. I have now crossed out three of them, but added nine new
> ones, so the total is now 26.)
>
> Alan
>
> --
> Alan Robock, Distinguished Professor
>   Editor, Reviews of Geophysics
>   Director, Meteorology Undergraduate Program
>   Associate Director, Center for Environmental Prediction
> Department of Environmental Sciences              Phone: +1-848-932-5751
> Rutgers University                                  Fax: +1-732-932-8644
> 14 College Farm Road                   E-mail: [email protected]
> New Brunswick, NJ 08901-8551  USA      
> http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~**robock<http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~robock>
>                                        http://twitter.com/AlanRobock
>
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