My proposal was not to establish political institutions and agreements, but
to aim for establishment of norms.

For example, countries could be encouraged at this time to make public
statements like:

*If things every got so bad that we felt compelled to deploy a solar
geoengineering system, we will, before deployment, stop building devices
that use the atmosphere as a waste dump.*
*
*
Even absent enforcement mechanisms, propagation of this norm could prove
powerful.


_______________
Ken Caldeira

Carnegie Institution for Science
Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
+1 650 704 7212 [email protected]
http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab  @kencaldeira




On Wed, Sep 11, 2013 at 2:07 PM, Philip M. Macnaghten <
[email protected]> wrote:

> Ken
>
> You make a good point (on which I agree in principle).
>
> However, if you think this through, you need to imagine what kind of
> political institutions and agreements need to be in place to 'police' all
> nation-states to ensure that 'no-one builds new CO2-emitting devices'
> (cars, power stations, infrastructure etc.). And whether this is in any way
> plausible in current circumstances.
>
> The wider point is that in a number of respects (including for the reason
> you suggest below) it is implausible to imagine how SRM can be compatible
> with current, liberal, democratic institutions. I suggest that the
> 'political' challenges posed by SRM need further consideration in groups
> such as this one.
>
> We have developed a paper on this point which I will be happy to share
> with the group when an on-line version is available (hopefully in the next
> month or so).
>
> Phil
>
> Visiting Professor****
>
> Department of Science and Technology Policy****
>
> Institute of Geosciences****
>
> P.O. Box 6152****
>
> State University of Campinas –­ UNICAMP****
>
> 13083-970, Campinas, SP, Brazil****
>
>
>
> Professor of Geography****
>
> Department of Geography****
>
> Science Laboratories****
>
> Durham University****
>
> South Road****
>
> Durham, DH1 3LE, UK
>
>
>
> From: Ken Caldeira <[email protected]>
> Reply-To: "[email protected]" <[email protected]>
> Date: Wednesday, 11 September 2013 14:51
> To: Andrew Lockley <[email protected]>
> Cc: geoengineering <[email protected]>
> Subject: Re: [geo] Linking solar geoengineering and emissions reduction
>
> Note that I did not require decarbonization of the economy as a
> pre-requisite for deployment as my proposal allows existing CO2-emitting
> devices to continue being used.  I merely required that we stop building
> new CO2-emitting devices.
>
> My point is that if climate change is enough of an emergency to require
> rapid deployment of solar geoengineering then it is also enough of an
> emergency to stop building devices that will exacerbate that emergency.
>
> If we are doing solar geoengineering at the same time as we are building
> new fossil-fueled power plants that use the atmosphere as a waste dump, how
> do you assure that the solar geoengineering system does not facilitate
> continued production of those devices?
>
>
> _______________
> Ken Caldeira
>
> Carnegie Institution for Science
> Dept of Global Ecology
> 260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
> +1 650 704 7212 [email protected]
> http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab  @kencaldeira
>
>
>
>
> On Wed, Sep 11, 2013 at 1:25 PM, Andrew Lockley 
> <[email protected]>wrote:
>
>> Ken
>>
>> We need to control temperatures far more quickly than we can hope to
>> decarbonise the economy.
>>
>> Are you seriously trying to argue that every car factory in the world
>> needs to close before we can do any SRM at all? That seems entirely
>> implausible.
>>
>> Perhaps more sensible to suggest that emissions growth be capped
>> (possibly at zero) before geoengineering starts.
>>
>> As I see it  the 'buy time' argument for SRM is a strong one. We need to
>> stop temperatures increasing *whilst * we decarbonise.
>>
>> A
>> On Sep 11, 2013 5:36 PM, "Ken Caldeira" <[email protected]>
>> wrote:
>>
>>> We do not want to be in a situation where a solar geoengineering system
>>> is used to enable continued increases in CO2 emissions.
>>>
>>> Therefore, a reasonable demand is that no new smokestacks or tailpipes
>>> be built after a solar geoengineering system is deployed.
>>>
>>> Another way of phrasing this is to demand that new construction of all
>>> new CO2-emitting devices cease prior to any solar geoengineering system
>>> deployment.
>>>
>>> This would help address the concern that solar geoengineering could
>>> provide cover for continued expansion of CO2-emitting industries.
>>>
>>> Norms that would prevent simultaneous solar geoengineering deployment
>>> and increasing CO2 emissions would help diminish the likelihood of bad
>>> outcomes and could help broaden political support for solar geoengineering
>>> research.
>>>
>>> --
>>>
>>> This would limit deployment of solar geoengineering systems to the case
>>> of "catastrophic" outcomes and would not permit use of solar geoengineering
>>> for "peak shaving" amid promises of future reductions in CO2 emissions.
>>>  Thus, this proposal does have a substantive implications for "peak
>>> shaving" strategies.
>>>
>>> --
>>>
>>> *I am floating this idea without being certain that the formulation
>>> presented here is the best possible formulation.*
>>>
>>> _______________
>>> Ken Caldeira
>>>
>>> Carnegie Institution for Science
>>> Dept of Global Ecology
>>> 260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
>>> +1 650 704 7212 [email protected]
>>> http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab  @kencaldeira
>>>
>>>
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>>
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