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http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/energy-environment/220078-the-climate-geoengineering-genie-why-we-all-need-to-be

October 08, 2014, 06:00 am

The climate geoengineering genie — Why we all need to be paying attention

By Simon Nicholson, contributor  43

The last couple of weeks have been busy ones on the climate change
calendar. On Sept. 23, a parade of world leaders gathered at a climate
change summit organized by United Nations' Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon to
pledge renewed attention and new actions. The summit was preceded by the
world's largest ever climate-focused civil society mobilization, with an
estimated 400,000 people marching through the streets of New York, and has
been followed by a flurry of pledges from governments, the business
community and citizen groups.

Such actions inject new saliency and urgency into the climate change
conversation. In doing so, they offer a glimmer of hope that humanity may
yet rise to meet this most daunting challenge.

Yet, despite all of the goodwill on display in New York, it is clear that
much work remains to be done. Just a handful of days before the climate
summit, the World Meteorological Organization had released data indicating
that global atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations had increased, in
2013, at their fastest rate for 30 years.

When read alongside projections from the most recent Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, which suggests that the world is
currently on a track that will likely produce4 degrees Celsius or more of
warming above pre-industrial averages by century's end, optimism can be
hard to sustain.

The brutal truth is that the world is making only limited progress in
tackling climate change. The actions promised in New York, even if they all
materialize (and the history of such promises suggests that's unlikely),
are only a small piece of what the scientific community tells us is needed.

It is no wonder, then, that a growing chorus of voices is pressing for
consideration of a "Plan B" to tackle climate change. This Plan B is
climate geoengineering — basically, large-scale technological interventions
designed to stem or slow climate change or to blunt its impacts.

Now, to be clear, climate geoengineering technologies are not the kinds of
high-tech responses one usually hears about — the development of renewable
energy technologies, construction of sea walls and the like. Rather,
climate geoengineering refers to a set of responses of a different
character. Most are concerned with trying to reflect some amount of
incoming solar radiation back into space (so-called solar radiation
management or SRM schemes), or are about finding ways to draw down and
store greenhouse gases that currently reside in the atmosphere (carbon
dioxide removal, or CDR approaches).Climate geoengineering technologies are
still very much in the realm of speculation. They remain the domain of a
handful of small research groups, modeling what would happen, say, if
sulfate particles were introduced into the stratosphere to mimic the kinds
of reflective actions we see following volcanic eruptions. Other groups are
working on developing systems to promote bioenergy with carbon capture and
storage (BECCS). And there are a host of other climate geoengineering
techniques being sketched out on drawing boards around the world, from
breaking up high-level cirrus clouds to more readily allow solar radiation
to pass back into space to the dumping of large amounts of iron into the
world's oceans to create great carbon-inhaling blooms of phytoplankton.Yet
while still largely speculative, talk of climate geoengineering is gaining
traction.

A couple of months back, I traveled to Berlin to participate in one of
the first major international conferences on climate geoengineering. The
meeting was organized by a German research center, the Institute for
Advanced Sustainability Studies, and received funding from the German
government.

The Berlin conference showed climate geoengineering to be a dynamic and
fast-moving area of scientific investigation. Researchers spoke about a
host of new ideas, and there was much excitement about the possibilities of
careful climate geoengineering being part of a strategic response to
climate change.Yet there was also much controversy at the conference as
participants grappled with a host of thorny questions and implications. How
would climate geoengineering schemes be governed on the domestic and
international levels? Who would decide whether and how a geoengineering
scheme would be developed and deployed? Who are the likely winners and
losers in a geoengineering world? Is geoengineering a realistic option as
part of a broader set of strategies aimed at tackling climate change, or is
it a distraction from the real mitigation work that needs to be done to
stem the flow of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere?

Such questions received much consideration but broach no easy answers. What
was clear is that the next decade is going to be incredibly important, not
just for physical and social science research on climate geoengineering,
but for engagement between the different communities of research and those
who make policy.

I pushed one basic point about the connection between the research and
policy communities in my presentation on the conference's final day.
Basically, now is the time for large-scale policy engagement, and shying
away from engagement, by policymakers or the research community, is not a
realistic option. Some have argued, compellingly, that to talk about
climate geoengineering in any way is, at best, a distraction, and at worst
a way to let the actors responsible for the precarious environmental
situation off the hook. There is value in such an argument.

Here's the thing, though: Climate geoengineering is a far too enticing and
powerful set of technological options to be wished away. The geoengineering
genie is not going to be pushed back into its bottle. Even if climate
geoengineering is a thoroughly bad idea, there are powerful social,
economic and cultural forces driving us to consider it. And so consider it
we must.We are entering, in climate terms, what Australian author Paul
Gilding has called the "age of consequences." The mainstream and
established science of climate change tells us that there will be much
uncertainty and suffering tied to climate change in the years ahead. As we
pass more deeply into this age of climate consequences, there needs to be a
high level of public understanding and engagement with the kinds of options
that are open to us. This entails real and robust conversations about a
range of difficult and thorny subjects: the promises and limits of
renewable energy technologies; about social transition based on
high-prosperity/lower-consumption pathways; about nuclear energy, natural
gas fracking and, yes, climate geoengineering technologies."

Climate geoengineering" sounds like yawn-inducing academic speak. It is,
though, a topic of critical and growing importance. The Berlin conference
made it clear that anybody concerned with national and international
responses to climate change, and with all that climate action means for the
future of energy systems, domestic and international economic and security
relations, and human and environmental well-being in the broadest sense,
needs to be paying attention to the rapidly evolving climate geoengineering
conversation.

Nicholson is director of the Global Environmental Politics Program in the
School of International Service at American University and co-director of
theWashington Geoengineering Consortium. Follow him @simonnicholson4.

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