Dear Mark:

Robert Tulip’s conclusions about the “inefficiencies" of existing microalgal 
cultivation methods as analysed by Beal et al. in the manuscript, "Economically 
competitive algal biofuel production in a 100-ha facility: a comprehensive 
techno-economic analysis and life cycle assessment,” are his interpretations, 
not ours. We have conducted very rigorous techno-economic analyses and life 
cycle assessments of many potential line-ups, and we are very encouraged by the 
results for a few of them. I think that Robert’s reading of our manuscript was 
selective, with him only seeing in it the results that confirmed his 
preconceptions. Since our manuscript is currently under review, I shared it 
with him under the condition that he not share or distribute it yet. Once it 
has successfully passed through the peer-review process, I would be pleased to 
share it with all interested parties. I would like to point out that 
productivity rates to date exceed the DOE’s targets for 2018, and we envision 
algal biofuels that will be cost-competitive with fossil fuels once we derive 
the full value from potential co-products. One of our manuscript’s conclusions 
is that algal biofuels are unlikely to be cost competitive with fossil fuels 
(especially heavily subsidized ones) without deriving value from additional 
co-products. From our calculations, using “defatted” algal biomass as a 
nutritional supplement in animal feeds, while assuming the commodity price for 
soybeans of $400/MT, results in a biofuel price of ~$8/gallon. This greatly 
undervalues the algae, which has a far superior amino acid profile and other 
nutritional benefits (e.g., high omega 3 fatty acid content) relative to 
soybeans. Using “defatted” algal biomass as a supplement in fish feeds, while 
assuming the going commodity price of $1500/MT, results in a biofuel price of 
~$2.50/gallon. The prospect of using algae directly in human nutrition has even 
greater economic benefits. There are lots of promising directions to go from 
here, so I am disappointed that Robert has chosen to portray our findings in an 
unfavorable light. For the purpose of scaling arguments, I would also like to 
point out that cultivating algae in an area the size of Wyoming can produce 
enough biofuel to meet the entire annual liquid-fuel transportation demand for 
the US while simultaneously producing an amount of protein 5.7x the annual 
global soy protein production. I believe these numbers, based on 
demonstration-scale field trials, should be a reason for optimism.

Sincerely,
Chuck Greene




On Nov 8, 2014, at 8:51 AM, 
[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> wrote:

Response to comments from Mark Capron

Hi Mark

Thanks for your comments.  My view is that microalgae is the best option for 
carbon dioxide removal as a geoengineering method to stabilise the global 
climate, and that the submarine storage and processing concept I have presented 
here should be the most economical and technically feasible approach.  Here is 
a summary.

Considering how carbon can best be managed in a form that is made commercially 
sustainable by its value as saleable commodities, my concept is that temporary 
deep ocean storage of algae presents a method able to make emission reduction 
irrelevant to climate stabilisation, by producing energy at a cost below the 
production cost of fossil fuels.

The inefficiencies of existing algae methods are analysed by Beal et al in 
their paper Economically competitive algal biofuel production in a 100-ha 
facility: a comprehensive techno-economic analysis and life cycle assessment.  
Charles H. Green kindly sent me this paper in response to my comments on his 
[X] post<https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/geoengineering/z3kwcBNQsSY> on 
the efforts of the Algae Biomass Organisation.  Beal et al have also written 
[X] Energy Return on Investment for Algal Biofuel Production Coupled with 
Wastewater 
Treatment<http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/wef/wer/2012/00000084/00000009/art00002>.
   Another typical paper on algae yield and energy return on investment is [X] 
Reduction of water and energy requirement of algae cultivation using an algae 
biofilm 
photobioreactor<http://www.utexas.edu/research/cem/algae_images/03_12%20reduction%20of%20water.pdf>.

The methods described in these papers are nowhere near cost effective as 
biofuel production systems able to compete with coal and gas without carbon tax 
subsidy.  A completely new technological paradigm is needed.

I preface my comments on the potential for such transformative technology by 
saying that the concepts described below are untested and are solely my 
personal ideas.  I would warmly welcome any suggestions on testing methods or 
discussion on my assumptions.

[X]NASA’s OMEGA 
system<http://www.energy.ca.gov/2013publications/CEC-500-2013-143/CEC-500-2013-143.pdf>,
 using floating plastic bags at sea to grow algae, presents a basis for a far 
more efficient biofuel production method than algae ponds or photobioreactors, 
due to its ability to tap into oceanic energy.  The OMEGA system as described 
by NASA must be augmented by three important innovations which together promise 
a new technological paradigm that will be cost competitive.  These factors are:
1.      use of tide, current and wave power to move CO2, nutrient, algae and 
water;
2.      initial co-location with abundant sources of CO2, nutrient and 
expertise and suitable hydrogeology;
3.      use of produced algae to make more factories using methods such as [X] 
bioplastic<http://algix.com/>.

These methods offer potential to drive capital and operating expenditure down 
way below existing biofuel models in order to enable cost competitiveness 
against fossil fuels when replicated and expanded to achieve efficiency of 
scale.

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