Poster's note : instructive for those examining the risk of climate tipping
points and also the likely earth system response to AGW

http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo2316.html?utm_content=buffere0b86&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

Two massive, rapid releases of carbon during the onset of the
Palaeocene–Eocene thermal maximum

Gabriel J. Bowen, Bianca J. Maibauer, Mary J. Kraus,Ursula Röhl, Thomas
Westerhold, Amy Steimke, Philip D. Gingerich, Scott L. Wing & William C.
Clyde

Nature Geoscience (2014) doi:10.1038/ngeo2316

15 December 2014

The Earth’s climate abruptly warmed by 5–8 °C during the Palaeocene–Eocene
thermal maximum (PETM), about 55.5 million years ago. This warming was
associated with a massive addition of carbon to the ocean–atmosphere
system, but estimates of the Earth system response to this perturbation are
complicated by widely varying estimates of the duration of carbon release,
which range from less than a year to tens of thousands of years. In
addition the source of the carbon, and whether it was released as a single
injection or in several pulses, remains the subject of debate. Here we
present a new high-resolution carbon isotope record from terrestrial
deposits in the Bighorn Basin (Wyoming, USA) spanning the PETM, and
interpret the record using a carbon-cycle box model of the
ocean–atmosphere–biosphere system. Our record shows that the beginning of
the PETM is characterized by not one but two distinct carbon release
events, separated by a recovery to background values. To reproduce this
pattern, our model requires two discrete pulses of carbon released directly
to the atmosphere, at average rates exceeding 0.9 Pg C yr−1, with the first
pulse lasting fewer than 2,000 years. We thus conclude that the PETM
involved one or more reservoirs capable of repeated, catastrophic carbon
release, and that rates of carbon release during the PETM were more similar
to those associated with modern anthropogenic emissions than previously
suggested

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