Poster's note : I rarely find myself in agreement with Clive, and this
piece is no exception. I don't see why there can't be a market in SRM
services, just like there's a market for train operators or fighter jets.
In fact, it's hard for me to see why the state would be a natural choice to
operate geoengineering machinery at all. The fuel and mining firms
cautioned against here would seem a natural set of partners for CDR - with
the right scale, expertise, and financial clout to get the job done
reliably and safely.

Geoengineering is no place for corporate profit making

http://gu.com/p/45pq8

Clive Hamilton
Published: 14:36 GMT Tue 17 February 2015

If you want to make money out of global warming invest in energy efficiency
and renewable energy companies, says Clive Hamilton

Geoengineering: it could be a money-making opportunity for business

“Save the world and make a little cash on the side.” That’s the motto of
Russ George, the colourful entrepreneur behind Planktos Science who wants
to put geoengineering into practice now. George is convinced that by adding
iron sulphate to the oceans, he can stimulate plankton blooms and so suck
enough carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere to offset human emissions from
burning coal and oil.

In 2007, backed by a Canadian real estate developer, the Planktos ship set
sail from San Francisco bound for the Galapagos Islands and loaded up with
iron sulphate. George was going to make a killing by selling carbon offsets
to whoever wanted them.

George believed, and told whoever asked, that ocean fertilization could
become a $100bn business and hinted to journalist Jeff Goodell that
America’s biggest coal-burning utility was interested in buying his carbon
credits.

US businessman defends controversial geoengineering experiment
The venture soon collapsed, leaving a cloud of mistrust hanging over all
research into iron fertilisation. Not long after Russ George set the
regulatory alarm bells ringing, the London Convention, which regulates
ocean dumping, and the Convention on Biological Diversity both passed
resolutions banning iron fertilisation experiments except under restrictive
conditions.

Rogue geoengineers like Russ George drive respectable researchers crazy,
not to mention those business people who think there really are profits to
be had from a plan B. On this question, last week’s report by the US
National Research Council (NRC) stresses that carbon dioxide removal is
expensive and limited by “technical immaturity”.

A range of companies have identified business opportunities in technologies
designed to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and store it
somewhere more or less permanently. Those who believe they can profit from
carbon credits because polluters with emission caps will pay for them point
to the Kyoto Protocol’s Clean Development Mechanism, which allows parties
to meet their emission reduction obligations by paying developing countries
to grow forests onto land cleared long ago.

More trees means more carbon dioxide soaked up in vegetation rather than in
the air, at least for a time. However, worried about the verifiability and
permanency of carbon dioxide stored in trees, the European Union does not
allow credits generated that way to be traded in its emissions trading
scheme.

Geoengineering: it could be a money-making opportunity for business
And the commercial promise of other methods of carbon dioxide removal is
likely to be very limited. Credits for using giant machines to remove the
gas are not likely to be accepted internationally for a long time, if at
all, not least because the industrial infrastructure needed for extraction
would need to be about as big as the infrastructure that puts it there –
oil wells, coal mines, railways, pipelines, power plants, refineries and so
on.

Neverthless “air capture” technologies are being developed by firms like
Carbon Engineering, a Canadian company founded by Harvard physicist and
geoengineering enthusiast David Keith. They are ventures looking for a
rationale, but that has not stopped Alberta oil sands billionaire N Murray
Edwards and Bill Gates from investing in the company.

The prospects are awful when fossil fuel companies play both sides of the
fence – oil companies such as Shell and ConocoPhillips have also put money
into geoengineering. Is it ethical for the polluters to promote
technologies that may allow them to continue to pollute?

If the promises made by geoengineering erode the political incentives
requiring polluters to cut their emissions, will we see fossil fuel
corporations begin lobbying to get political endorsement for climate
modification?

The ethical and political difficulties deepen when we get to the other kind
of geoengineering scheme reviewed in the NRC report, “albedo modification”
– formerly known as solar radiation management – schemes to reduce the
amount of sunlight reaching the Earth’s surface.

No one will ever make money out of trading emission reduction credits in
global dimming. But some commercial outfits can envisage a desperate world
paying them princely sums for access to the technology for doing it.

There have been a flurry of patents being issued, 28 at the last count,
including one for a hose suspended by blimps in the sky that would spray
sulphate aerosols. Branded the StratoShield it’s owned by a firm named
Intellectual Ventures, which markets the device as “a practical, low-cost
way to reverse catastrophic warming of the Arctic – or the entire planet.”

Among the investors in Intellectual Ventures who perhaps see themselves
making a motza from planetary catastrophe are Nathan Myhrvold, formerly
chief technology officer at Microsoft, and Bill Gates himself. If the
future of the world comes to depend on the Stratoshield, will they play
hardball?

So here’s the bottom line: if you want to make money out of global warming
invest in energy efficiency and renewable energy companies. They are
guaranteed winners and your children will not hate you for it..

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