Poster's note : a more accessible article is available at
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2015/02/the-mystery-of-the-offset-chronologies-tree-rings-and-the-volcanic-record-of-the-1st-millennium/#ITEM-18139-2

http://www.clim-past.net/11/105/2015/cp-11-105-2015.html

Clim. Past, 11, 105-114, 2015
www.clim-past.net/11/105/2015/
doi:10.5194/cp-11-105-2015

Tree ring effects and ice core acidities clarify the volcanic record of the
first millennium

M. G. L. Baillie and J. McAneney

Abstract
In 2012 Plummer et al., in presenting the volcanic chronology of the
Antarctic Law Dome ice core, chose to list connections to acid layers in
other ice cores and also possible chronological coincidences between ice
acid dates and the precise dates of frost damage, and/or reduced growth in
North American bristlecone pines. We disagree with the chronological links
indicated by Plummer et al. for the period before AD 700, and in this paper
we show that a case can be made that better linkages between ice acid and
tree ring effects occur for this period if the ice chronologies are
systematically moved forward by around 7 years, consistent with a
hypothesis published by Baillie in 2008. In the paper we seek to explore
the proposition that frost damage rings in North American bristlecone pines
are a very useful indicator of the dates of certain large explosive
volcanic eruptions; the dating of major eruptions being critical for any
clear understanding of volcanic forcing. This paper cannot prove that there
is an error in the Greenland Ice Core Chronology 2005 (GICC05), and in
equivalent ice chronologies from the Antarctic, however, it does provide a
coherent argument for an apparent ice dating offset. If the suggested
offset were to prove correct it would be necessary to locate where the
error occurs in the ice chronologies and in this regard the dating of the
increasingly controversial Icelandic Eldgjá eruption in the AD 930s, and
the China/Korean Millennium eruption which occurs some 7 years after
Eldgjá, may well be critical. In addition, if the offset were to be
substantiated it would have implications for the alleged identification of
tephra at 429.3 m in the Greenland GRIP core, currently attributed to the
Italian volcano Vesuvius and used as a critical zero error point in the
GICC05 chronology.

Citation: Baillie, M. G. L. and McAneney, J.: Tree ring effects and ice
core acidities clarify the volcanic record of the first millennium, Clim.
Past, 11, 105-114, doi:10.5194/cp-11-105-2015, 2015.

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