Jon,
I think you are underestimating the human propensity to assume the best about 
alternatives to paths that worry them.  We are not mitigating enough because 
there are too many people who think mitigation will have all sorts of negative 
impacts on them.  Those same people are unlikely to assume geoengineering will 
make them worse off.
David

Sent from my iPad

On Jun 2, 2015, at 7:50 PM, Jon Lawhead 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

As a philosopher working on this issue, it seems to me that this provides a 
really strong argument in favor of focused attention on mitigation.  There's at 
least some degree of popular perception that geoengineering provides a "fail 
safe" for fixing the climate if/when we fail to successfully implement 
sufficient mitigation policies.  In some cases, this leads to more lukewarm (or 
downright cold) support for mitigation than it otherwise would have.  
Philosophers and social scientists call this a "moral hazard."

But it seems to me that this position isn't just wrong--it's exactly backward.  
If a failure to adequately mitigate climate change means that our only recourse 
will be geoengineering, that's a very strong reason to mitigate early and 
mitigate often.  The costs associated with geoengineering--both in terms of 
financial commitments and in terms of potentially dangerous side-effects--are 
just too numerous for it to be reasonable to think of a large-scale 
geoengineering program as a "fail safe."  I think we would do well to work 
harder to promulgate that message more widely and more forcefully than we do 
now.

Naturally,

Jon Lawhead, PhD
Postdoctoral Research Fellow
University of Southern California
Philosophy and Earth Sciences

3651 Trousdale Parkway
Zumberge Hall of Science, 223D
Los Angeles, CA 90089-0740

http://www.realityapologist.com<http://www.realityapologist.com/>

On Sun, May 31, 2015 at 11:55 AM, Greg Rau 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
Amen, Mike. Given this dangerous trajectory, I'd say it's time for another 
reading from our experts on the ethics of alternative climate management 
methods. And I don't mean adaptation.
Greg
--------------------------------------------
On Sun, 5/31/15, Mike MacCracken 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

 Subject: [geo] On why we'll very likely need climate engineering
 To: "Geoengineering" 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>>
 Date: Sunday, May 31, 2015, 10:28 AM

 For those who argue that it is best
 to keep relying on mitigation as the
 only acceptable approach, it is because of disgraceful
 decisions such as
 described in:

 http://motherboard.vice.com/read/the-10-billion-tons-of-coal-that-could-eras
 e-obamas-progress-on-climate-change

 that this will be the case. I've done declarations for a
 couple of lawsuits
 trying to fight the leasing of such coal lands. The
 Administration could
 have acceded to their calls for a high quality environmental
 review of the
 consequences of such leasing (so including GHG effect), but
 instead they
 have fought those lawsuits and rely on a really outdated EIS
 (their analysis
 starts on page 4-130--and is only a few pages long). Or they
 could have
 imposed the social cost of carbon as an additional fee if
 one wants to use
 the free market system to level the field across
 technologies--but no,
 leases would be at very low prices.

 So, first, the criticism that those of us favor
 geoengineering first are
 just wrong--we've been fighting hard for mitigation. But
 decisions like this
 keep coming, and I would suggest have nothing to do with
 whether
 geoengineering might or might not help. So, we keep having
 to go deeper and
 deeper in to the barrel to try to find some way to slow the
 devastating
 consequences of warming lying ahead.

 Second, given decisions like this by the US, no wonder the
 rest of the world
 is not yet really making commitments that are strong enough
 to make a
 difference for the future. Truly embarrassing decision--it
 makes all the
 clamor over stopping the Keystone pipeline to limit tar
 sands development
 ring very hollow.

 Mike MacCracken

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