http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2015EGUGA..17.6979C

Solar geoengineering, atmospheric water vapor transport, and land plants

Authors:
Caldeira, Ken; Cao, Long
Affiliation:
AA(Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford CA 94305 USA
[email protected]), AB(Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang
310027 China [email protected])

Publication:
EGU General Assembly 2015, held 12-17 April, 2015 in Vienna, Austria.
id.6979
04/2015

Abstract

This work, using the GeoMIP database supplemented by additional
simulations, discusses how solar geoengineering, as projected by the
climate models, affects temperature and the hydrological cycle, and how
this in turn is related to projected changes in net primary productivity
(NPP). Solar geoengineering simulations typically exhibit reduced
precipitation. Solar geoengineering reduces precipitation because solar
geoengineering reduces evaporation. Evaporation precedes precipitation,
and, globally, evaporation equals precipitation. CO2 tends to reduce
evaporation through two main mechanisms: (1) CO2 tends to stabilize the
atmosphere especially over the ocean, leading to a moister atmospheric
boundary layer over the ocean. This moistening of the boundary layer
suppresses evaporation. (2) CO2 tends to diminish evapotranspiration, at
least in most land-surface models, because higher atmospheric CO2
concentrations allow leaves to close their stomata and avoid water loss. In
most high-CO2 simulations, these effects of CO2 which tend to suppress
evaporation are masked by the tendency of CO2-warming effect to increase
evaporation. In a geoengineering simulation, with the warming effect of CO2
largely offset by the solar geoengineering, the evaporation suppressing
characteristics of CO2 are no longer masked and are clearly exhibited.
Decreased precipitation in solar geoengineering simulations is a bit like
ocean acidification - an effect of high CO2 concentrations that is not
offset by solar geoengineering. Locally, precipitation ultimately either
evaporates (much of that through the leaves of plants) or runs off through
groundwater to streams and rivers. On long time scales, runoff equals
precipitation minus evaporation, and thus, water runoff generated at a
location is equal to the net atmospheric transport of water to that
location. Runoff typically occurs where there is substantial soil moisture,
at least seasonally. Locations where there is enough water to maintain
runoff are typically locations where there is sufficient water to maintain
plant growth. This work aims at: (i) Identifying the geographical
distribution of sensitivity of modeled-NPP to changes in CO2, temperature,
and various parameters related to the hydrological cycle; (ii)
Geographically partitioning changes in modeled-NPP to changes in CO2,
temperature, and hydrological variables (and a non-linear interaction term).

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