Poster's note: relevant to afforestation and land use CDR. This appears to
add afforestation to ocean pipes in the list of potentially negatively
effective geoengineering schemes.

http://science.sciencemag.org/content/351/6273/597

Europe’s forest management did not mitigate climate warming

Kim Naudts et al.
E-mail:[email protected]

Science  05 Feb 2016:
Vol. 351, Issue 6273, pp. 597-600
DOI: 10.1126/science.aad7270

Europe's managed forests contribute to warming

For most of the past 250 years, surprisingly it seems that Europe's managed
forests have been a net source of carbon, contributing to climate warming
rather than mitigating it. Naudts et al. reconstructed the history of
forest management in Europe in the context of a land-atmosphere model. The
release of carbon otherwise stored in litter, dead wood, and soil carbon
pools in managed forests was one key factor contributing to climate
warming. Second, the conversion of broadleaved forests to coniferous
forests has changed the albedo and evapotranspiration of those forests,
also leading to warming. Thus, climate change mitigation policies in Europe
and elsewhere may need to consider changes in forest management.

Science, this issue p. 597

Abstract

Afforestation and forest management are considered to be key instruments in
mitigating climate change. Here we show that since 1750, in spite of
considerable afforestation, wood extraction has led to Europe’s forests
accumulating a carbon debt of 3.1 petagrams of carbon. We found that
afforestation is responsible for an increase of 0.12 watts per square meter
in the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, whereas an
increase of 0.12 kelvin in summertime atmospheric boundary layer
temperature was mainly caused by species conversion. Thus, two and a half
centuries of forest management in Europe have not cooled the climate. The
political imperative to mitigate climate change through afforestation and
forest management therefore risks failure, unless it is recognized that not
all forestry contributes to climate change mitigation.

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