Poster's note : more BECCS debunking

http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.est.6b00122

Climate Change Mitigation Challenge for Wood Utilization—The Case of Finland

Sampo Soimakallio, Laura Saikku, Lauri Valsta and Kim Pingoud
Phone: +358 295 251 830;
e-mail:[email protected].

Environmental Science & Technology

Publication Date (Web): April 13, 2016

DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.6b00122

The urgent need to mitigate climate change invokes both opportunities and
challenges for forest biomass utilization. Fossil fuels can be substituted
by using wood products in place of alternative materials and energy, but
wood harvesting reduces forest carbon sink and processing of wood products
requires material and energy inputs. We assessed the extended life cycle
carbon emissions considering substitution impacts for various wood
utilization scenarios over 100 years from 2010 onward for Finland. The
scenarios were based on various but constant wood utilization structures
reflecting current and anticipated mix of wood utilization activities. We
applied stochastic simulation to deal with the uncertainty in a number of
input variables required. According to our analysis, the wood utilization
decrease net carbon emissions with a probability lower than 40% for each of
the studied scenarios. Furthermore, large emission reductions were
exceptionally unlikely. The uncertainty of the results were influenced
clearly the most by the reduction in the forest carbon sink. There is a
significant trade-off between avoiding emissions through fossil fuel
substitution and reduction in forest carbon sink due to wood harvesting.
This creates a major challenge for forest management practices and wood
utilization activities in responding to ambitious climate change mitigation
targets

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