https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms14856
- - More detail <https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms14856/metrics> Article | OPEN Pathways for balancing CO2emissions and sinks - Brian Walsh <https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms14856#auth-1> - , Philippe Ciais <https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms14856#auth-2> - […] - Michael Obersteiner <https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms14856#auth-8> - *Nature Communications* 8, Article number: 14856 (2017) - doi:10.1038/ncomms14856 - Download Citation <https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms14856.ris> - - Climate and Earth system modelling <https://www.nature.com/subjects/climate-and-earth-system-modelling> - Climate-change mitigation <https://www.nature.com/subjects/climate-change-mitigation> - Environmental impact <https://www.nature.com/subjects/environmental-impact> Received:08 July 2016Accepted:06 February 2017Published online:13 April 2017 Abstract In December 2015 in Paris, leaders committed to achieve global, net decarbonization of human activities before 2100. This achievement would halt and even reverse anthropogenic climate change through the net removal of carbon from the atmosphere. However, the Paris documents contain few specific prescriptions for emissions mitigation, leaving various countries to pursue their own agendas. In this analysis, we project energy and land-use emissions mitigation pathways through 2100, subject to best-available parameterization of carbon-climate feedbacks and interdependencies. We find that, barring unforeseen and transformative technological advancement, anthropogenic emissions need to peak within the next 10 years, to maintain realistic pathways to meeting the COP21 emissions and warming targets. Fossil fuel consumption will probably need to be reduced below a quarter of primary energy supply by 2100 and the allowable consumption rate drops even further if negative emissions technologies remain technologically or economically unfeasible at the global scale -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
