https://law.ucla.edu/centers/environmental-law/emmett-institute-on-climate-change-and-the-environment/projects/climate-engineering-governance-project/

Climate Engineering Governance Project

The Emmett Institute announces a new project to study the governance of
climate engineering (CE) technologies. The three-year project, funded by a
grant from the Open Philanthropy Project, will be directed by Professor
Edward A. (Ted) Parson, Dan and Rae Emmett Professor of Environmental Law
and Emmett Institute faculty co-director.

"Climate engineering" (CE) describes various intentional interventions that
would modify the global climate system, aiming to offset some of the harms
from elevated greenhouse gases and resultant climate change. Several CE
approaches have been proposed, which modify either the Earth’s carbon cycle
or its radiation balance. The strong global temperature targets stated at
Copenhagen (2009) and Paris (2015) - holding global heating to 1.5 or 2
degrees C above the pre-industrial levels - will very likely require some
form of CE to be achievable, either carbon removal (often called "negative
emissions"), reducing incoming sunlight, or both. Some CE interventions
appear potentially able to substantially reduce climate-change risks, in
ways that mitigation and adaptation alone - even if pursued with greatly
increased urgency - cannot. But CE cannot offset all impacts of elevated
greenhouse gases. It thus is not, and cannot be, a complete response to
climate change, and must be considered a supplement, not a replacement, for
the essential activities of cutting emissions and adapting to unavoidable
climate changes. Whether CE capabilities on balance reduce climate-related
risks or make them worse (and introduce serious new risks) depends on how
they are used, to what ends, by whom. If used competently, prudently, and
legitimately, they may help a lot; if used incompetently, recklessly,
rivalrously, or relied on too much, they may make matters worse. Which of
these outcomes happens will depend on how these potential interventions are
governed.

Given the sharp tension between potential large benefits and risks, and the
unavoidably global impact, CE technologies pose novel and severe challenges
to governance, particularly at the international level. While these
challenges are most obvious for the prospect of future global-scale
implementation, proposals to research potential CE methods, effects, and
risks - including small-scale field experiments with negligible direct
environmental impact - have also raised controversy, based on concerns
about public acceptance, the controllability of capabilities once
developed, and the prospect of undermining support for essential mitigation
and adaptation. CE research has consequently also seen sharp debates over
its governance, in addition to the distinct but connected questions of
governance of potential future deployment.

This new Emmett Institute project will examine governance challenges posed
by CE technologies and potential responses. Examples of questions to be
addressed include:

   - What risks are posed by small-scale CE research? How severe are these,
   and how can programs, policies, and oversight methods be designed to
   control them?
   - At what point would CE research projects become matters of
   international concern, and what international coordination, oversight, or
   other governance would they require?
   - How will CE interact with other parts of climate policy? How can
   institutions or decision processes help make these interactions strengthen,
   rather than weaken, mitigation effort?
   - What capabilities will be needed for peaceful, competent, prudent
   control of future proposals for CE deployment? What feasible early steps
   can build such capabilities?
   - What role can an early moratorium play in the development of such
   capabilities?
   - What are the implications of potential regional variation in CE
   effects? Under what conditions might such variations pose security threats,
   and how can these be mitigated?
   - What governance challenges are posed by the imperfect observability of
   CE interventions and effects? What monitoring, attribution, or governance
   advances might address these?
   - What feasible early steps might reduce the resultant risks if, at some
   future time, a major state proposes or announces a CE intervention, or
   charges that someone has done one?
   - How might a high-level consultative body like a World Commission help
   build understanding and norms, and so support early development of
   governance capacity?

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