http://indianexpress.com/article/technology/science/a-cocktail-geo-engineering-approach-to-reversing-global-warming-4805937/

-frame.
Written by Govindasamy Bala | Bangalore |Published on: August 21, 2017 2:50
am
Scientists have for long been trying to look for alternative strategies to
keep a lid on rising temperatures in a more immediate time-frame.
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Global warming — the continuing rise in global temperatures — is attributed
to the rapidly increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere. Attempts to fight global warming, and the consequent climate
change, are therefore mainly aimed at stabilising and then reducing the
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. These strategies, even in the
best-case scenarios, are likely to start yielding results only in the long
term, after at least four to five decades. In the meanwhile, temperatures
are expected to continue to rise.

Scientists have for long been trying to look for alternative strategies to
keep a lid on rising temperatures in a more immediate time-frame. Planetary
scale geo-engineering solutions have often been suggested. One of the ideas
that has been explored for quite some time involves placing of artificial
reflectors -giant mirrors or very small reflecting particles – in outer
space that can reflect back some part of solar radiation incident on
earth’s surface. By blocking a part of sun rays, temperatures on the earth
can be brought down. Injection of sulphate aerosols, very fine solid
particles, into the stratosphere is one of the most widely discussed ideas
to achieve this objective. Sulphate aerosol particles are very good
reflectors of sunlight, and it has been shown, through various climate
models, that even if 1% of current incident solar radiation is reflected
back in space, a very significant amount of temperature rise on earth can
be offset.

Another way of instantly cooling the planet is to reduce the amount of
high-altitude clouds, formed at heights of around 10 km from the earth’s
surface. These cloud, called cirrus, are composed mainly of ice crystals.
Like the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, these clouds also have
greenhouse property. They let the solar radiation pass through and reach
the surface, but trap the higher wavelength infrared radiation emitted from
the earth, thereby contributing to the heating. If these clouds are reduced
by some engineering interventions, it would allow the IR radiation from the
earth, too, to pass through to space, thus allowing some of the heat to
dissipate and hence cool the planet.

Several studies over the years have assessed the feasibility and the likely
impacts of geo-engineering solutions like these using climate models.
Computer simulations using these models have shown that desired decline in
temperatures can be achieved by both these approaches.

However, both of them also have an inherent problem. In their simulations,
scientists have been trying to achieve pre-industrial levels of both global
temperature and rainfall when the carbon dioxide concentration in the
atmosphere was 280 parts per million. The problem with either of these two
methods is that when the pre-industrial temperatures are reached through
the simulations, the precipitation levels in those conditions are wide of
the mark as compared to what is expected at 280 ppm carbon dioxide
concentration.

In the aerosol injection method, the amount of precipitation change per
degree change in temperatures is greater than what carbon dioxide
concentrations produce, while it is less if the cirrus cloud reduction
method is used.

In either case, there is imbalance and scientists have so far not succeeded
in restoring both temperature as well as precipitation simultaneously to
the pre-industrial levels by using either of the two simulated
geo-engineering models.

For the first time, recently we have succeeded in achieving this
simultaneous balance by combining the two methods. In our computer
simulations, we studied the effects of sulphate aerosol injection in the
upper stratosphere combined with the impacts of cirrus cloud thinning. By
careful calibration, we have been able to restore pre-industrial levels of
temperature as well as precipitation through these geo-engineering models.
In our study, about 75% of the cooling of the earth’s surface is achieved
by sulphate aerosol injection and the rest by the thinning of clouds.

Our result has recently been published in Geophysical Research Letters, a
peer-reviewed journal published by the American Geophysical Union. The
study was conducted by a team of international scientists. The
collaborating team includes Ken Caldeira of Carnegie Institution for
Science in the US, and Long Cao and Lei Duan of Zhejiang University, China.

It is important to note that the geo-engineering solutions are still some
distance away from being applied, and scientific opinion is divided over
the need to deploy such methods. Geo-engineering is a controversial idea
and many are opposed to it as it involves not only science but also ethical
and moral issues. Unlike conventional approaches to deal with climate
change, geo-engineering solutions do nothing to reduce concentrations of
atmospheric carbon dioxide, the main reason for global warming. Many
climate scientists, including I, are not in favour of implementing
geo-engineering but it is important to continue scientific research into it
as all options should be on the table for solving the climate crisis. Our
first and foremost focus should be on carbon dioxide emission reductions.

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