http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017JD027110/abstract


   Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres

   
<http://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/hub/journal/10.1002/%28ISSN%292169-8996>

Regional Climate Variability under Model Simulations of Solar Geoengineering
K. Dagon, D. Schrag

   - 19 October 2017Full publication history
   
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017JD027110/abstract#publication-history>
   - DOI:10.1002/2017JD027110

Abstract

Solar geoengineering has been shown in modeling studies to successfully
mitigate global mean surface temperature changes from greenhouse warming.
Changes in land surface hydrology are complicated by the direct effect of
carbon dioxide (CO2) on vegetation, which alters the flux of water from the
land surface to the atmosphere. Here we investigate changes in boreal
summer climate variability under solar geoengineering using multiple
ensembles of model simulations. We find that spatially uniform solar
geoengineering creates a strong meridional gradient in the Northern
Hemisphere temperature response, with less consistent patterns in
precipitation, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture. Using regional
summertime temperature and precipitation results across 31-member
ensembles, we show a decrease in the frequency of heat waves and
consecutive dry days under solar geoengineering relative to a high-CO2 world.
However in some regions solar geoengineering of this amount does not
completely reduce summer heat extremes relative to present day climate. In
western Russia and Siberia, an increase in heat waves is connected to a
decrease in surface soil moisture that favors persistent high temperatures.
Heat waves decrease in the central United States and the Sahel while the
hydrologic response increases terrestrial water storage. Regional changes
in soil moisture exhibit trends over time as the model adjusts to solar
geoengineering, particularly in Siberia and the Sahel, leading to robust
shifts in climate variance. These results suggest potential benefits and
complications of large-scale uniform climate intervention schemes.

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