Yes, decisive military action would probably be the most effective way to stop SRM, but many people in many cases would find war to be a disproportionate response to unwanted geoengineering. Counter-geoengineering might be preferable to global war, but I think that if we ever get to the stage where counter-geoengineering or military action are considered then diplomacy has failed and we're in trouble.
On Wednesday, May 16, 2018 at 3:26:51 PM UTC+1, Andrew Lockley wrote: > > The most effective counter geoengineering technology is probably a > surface-to-air missile. > > I've a paper on security issues in draft; contact from prospective > collaborators is welcome. > > A > > On Wed, 16 May 2018, 15:18 Andy Parker, <apar...@gmail.com <javascript:>> > wrote: > >> Hi folks, >> >> >> >> Josh Horton, David Keith and I have written a paper about >> counter-geoengineering and it was published today in Earth’s Future >> https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2018EF000864. >> Counter-geoengineering >> <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2018EF000864.Counter-geoengineering> >> >> we define as the use of technical means to negate the change in radiative >> forcing caused by SRM deployment. Typically people think about the >> deliberate release of potent greenhouses gases when they think of >> counter-geoengineering, but other methods are possible. >> >> >> >> We wrote the paper because the idea of counter-geoengineering crops up >> from time to time in discussions of SRM, but no one has yet done any >> serious analysis of how it might be done or what the implications might be. >> We try to address both of these things and we conclude: >> >> - there are two potential methods for counter-geoengineering: >> “countervailing”, which would entail the release of warming agents (such as >> greenhouse gases or aerosols), and “neutralising”, which would consist of >> removing or otherwise rendering inert the original SRM agent. >> >> - Any state that could credibly threaten to counter-geoengineer might >> have an effective veto over SRM use. This could provide a counter against >> unilateral SRM use and could nudge decision-making towards multilateralism. >> Alternatively, it could result in spiralling brinkmanship over the climate, >> environmental damage, and conflict. >> >> - We hope that these technologies will not be developed or used. The fact >> that SRM may be needed to counter climate change represents a collective >> failure to limit GHG emissions. The development and use of >> counter-geoengineering would be a further testament to the international >> system’s inability to resolve climate disagreements in a constructive way. >> >> >> >> Speaking personally, I’m sceptical that counter-geoengineering will ever >> be developed. To me it seems that the barriers to development are too high >> and the potential uses are too niche and so I can’t see anyone bothering to >> try. I hope that’s right, but I'm finding that what I hope for is having >> less and less influence on real world political developments. >> >> >> >> Note that David and Josh made a video discussing this research with their >> colleague Peter Irvine: https://player.vimeo.com/video/269265108. They >> have similar reservations to me regarding the feasibility and desirability >> of counter-geoengineering and they discuss this and more in the video. >> >> >> >> Andy >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "geoengineering" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to geoengineerin...@googlegroups.com <javascript:>. >> To post to this group, send email to geoengi...@googlegroups.com >> <javascript:>. >> Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. >> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. >> > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. Visit this group at https://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
