Thanks, Russell. Do you have a citation for the power numbers for natural
rays (although I've ignored the rarer, high-energy rays)? The numbers
you've provided contradict my sources, which are many orders of magnitude
lower.

For clarity, the comparator technology is an ion thruster, not a research
particle accelerator. These have to be efficient, otherwise they'd impart a
very large energy penalty on space probes.

A

On Mon, 20 Aug 2018, 01:55 Russell Seitz, <[email protected]> wrote:

> The  grid-to-beam efficiency of  greater than GEV particle accelerators
> ranges from kess than 5 % for high current systems , to as little as  0.02%
> for superconducting colliders like the LHC.  As the global cosmic ray flux
> is of the order of 5 GW, matching it might therefore take anywhere from a
> hundred GW to several tens of terawatts.
>
> At the high end of that power range one runs into a serious feedback-  the
> cloud nucleation cooling might be overwhelmed by extra CO2  radiative
> forcing  from the thermal plants in the grid powering the accelerators.
>
> On Sunday, August 19, 2018 at 10:17:58 AM UTC-4, Andrew Lockley wrote:
>>
>> Cosmic rays cause cloud condensation nuclei. They are therefore believed
>> to affect cloudiness, and therefore climate. If we made more cosmic rays,
>> that would likely make it more cloudy. Whether this was a warming or
>> cooling effect would depend on whether it was cirrus or cumulus clouds (NB,
>> sometimes making cirrus ultimately removes water, resulting in less cirrus)
>>
>> Cosmic rays are almost all protons, with an typical energy peak
>> distribution of 0.3GEv. (4.8×10−11 J). No idea if that's the right
>> energy for CCN, but we can tweak that later.
>>
>> Creating artificial cosmic rays is possible, using a linear particle
>> accelerator. This is similar to an ion thruster, as used in space probes.
>>
>> To affect climate, you'd probably have to get densities of the order of
>> 1/s/sqm (more on that, later).
>>
>> 360 million square kilometers of ocean is 360tn sqm or 3.6x10^14sqm. You
>> don't really want to send particles into people, and the cleaner air over
>> the oceans makes them more effective.
>>
>> A kilo of hydrogen contains 6x10^26 protons.
>>
>> That means 1kg of H2 gives you enough material for 1.6x10^12s = roughly
>> 50 years - so a satellite could easily carry enough material to do the job.
>>
>> Power is 3.6x10^14 x 4.8x10^-11J/s = 17kW - again, well within what a
>> satellite could muster (roughly 100sqm of solar panels, at around 20% panel
>> efficiency (conservative) and 50pc conversion (made up) efficiency).
>>
>> Cheap satellites are about $50m - well within the capabilities of a rich
>> philanthropist. Even if this is not cheap, it's still only perhaps 500m
>>
>> If I'm out by 5 orders (1 ray per sq cm, not per sq m each second), then
>> that's only 10,000 satellites. That's expensive, but not outlandish.
>> Superficially, that would be $500bn at the lower cost, but there is likely
>> a 10x or 100x experience curve cost reduction, meaning the whole programme
>> would be about $5-50bn max.
>>
>> As an alternative, you could use aircraft or balloons, but beam
>> attenuation would be a serious issue. 40km balloons can be launched, albeit
>> with small payloads. They would fly at the bottom of the mesosphere, over
>> 99.9pc of the atmosphere. So maybe beam attenuation would be tolerable, at
>> that height. I don't know how to calculate it, but I'm guessing it would be
>> cms to kms - so not really far enough to make a difference to climate. You
>> could perhaps have mountaintop accelerators with very high powers, and a
>> sweeping beam (like a lighthouse). If the power requirement was GW-range,
>> then maybe the beam range would be a hundred km, or so. That might be
>> enough to work, but it would have some pretty significant effects on local
>> atmospheric chemistry - so probably not a good idea.
>>
>> Any thoughts from anyone?
>>
>> Andrew Lockley
>>
>>
>> --
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