Hi John ,

Inconveniently, they do both. They reflect and scatter incoming solar
radiation (cooling effect) but also absorb outgoing longwave (warming). At
night they are purely warming, but during the day the net effect can be
either - depending strongly on whether there are clouds beneath them
(decreases cooling benefit), the surface albedo (sea is dark so contrail
benefits are greater), and the surface temperature. Kärcher wrote an
excellent review article in 2018 (Formation and radiative forcing of
contrail cirrus) covering the degree of uncertainty in all this - since we
have very poor records of total coverage and properties, the exact balance
between warming and cooling is also highly uncertain.

Regards,

Seb

On Sun, Jul 14, 2019, 08:40 john gorman <[email protected]> wrote:

> The report that got me into this was a research paper showing that the
> lack of contrails just after 911 allowed a warming of the atmosphere. So I
> came up with an idea to increase and simulate the cooling effect of
> contrails. At the time I had never heard of the this group or the word
> geoengineering.
>
>
>
> I now see in a recent post that contrails warm the earth.
>
>
>
> Which is correct?
>
>
>
> John Gorman
>
>
>
>
>
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