Poster's note: Cross posting, due to the albedo and Carbon storage
dimensions

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rstb.2019.0122

Pleistocene Arctic megafaunal ecological engineering as a natural climate
solution?
Marc Macias-Fauria, Paul Jepson, Nikita Zimov and Yadvinder Malhi
Published:27 January 2020https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0122
Abstract
Natural climate solutions (NCS) in the Arctic hold the potential to be
implemented at a scale able to substantially affect the global climate. The
strong feedbacks between carbon-rich permafrost, climate and herbivory
suggest an NCS consisting of reverting the current wet/moist moss and
shrub-dominated tundra and the sparse forest–tundra ecotone to grassland
through a guild of large herbivores. Grassland-dominated systems might
delay permafrost thaw and reduce carbon emissions—especially in Yedoma
regions, while increasing carbon capture through increased productivity and
grass and forb deep root systems. Here we review the environmental context
of megafaunal ecological engineering in the Arctic; explore the mechanisms
through which it can help mitigate climate change; and estimate its
potential—based on bison and horse, with the aim of evaluating the
feasibility of generating an ecosystem shift that is economically viable in
terms of carbon benefits and of sufficient scale to play a significant role
in global climate change mitigation. Assuming a megafaunal-driven ecosystem
shift we find support for a megafauna-based arctic NCS yielding substantial
income in carbon markets. However, scaling up such projects to have a
significant effect on the global climate is challenging given the large
number of animals required over a short period of time. A first-cut
business plan is presented based on practical information—costs and
infrastructure—from Pleistocene Park (northeastern Yakutia, Russia). A 10
yr experimental phase incorporating three separate introductions of herds
of approximately 1000 individuals each is costed at US$114 million, with
potential returns of approximately 0.3–0.4% yr−1 towards the end of the
period, and greater than 1% yr−1 after it. Institutional friction and the
potential role of new technologies in the reintroductions are discussed.

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