https://ams.confex.com/ams/101ANNUAL/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/379262

Understanding and Modeling the Interactions Between Sulfate Geoengineering
and Clouds (Invited Presentation)

Friday, January 15, 2021
3:30 PM - 3:35 PM
Abstract
The artificial injection of SO2 into the stratosphere (sulfate
geoengineering, SG) has been proposed as a way to partially reduce surface
temperatures. Numerous side effects of such an intervention have been
explored in climate models simulations, both in the stratosphere (i.e.
changes in stratospheric dynamics, stratospheric ozone loss) and at the
surface (i.e. changes in the hydrological cycle, shifts in seasonal
temperature cycles).
Changes in cloud cover would be an important factor in an overall
assessment of SG for multiple reasons: mainly, their importance in our
planet's radiation balance indicates that SG-cloud interactions would
determine how efficient a given injection might be in lowering surface
temperatures. Changes in cloud coverage might also reduce or increase
diffuse radiation reaching the surface, thus affecting different ecosystems
in different ways.

The overall response of clouds to SG could be driven by multiple factors,
for instance changes in the vertical temperature gradient, sulfate
particles settling down from the stratosphere interacting with cloud
nucleation processes, shifts in the Intertropical Convergence Zone or in
the Walker Circulation or changes in inter-hemispheric and equator-to-pole
temperature gradient, and might affect different types of clouds.

Furthermore, since cloud dynamics are very dependant on small-scale
processes, in the global climate models used to study SG scenarios the
processes that lead to clouds formation are parametrized as a function of
the large-scale conditions. While the response of these parametrizations
can be validated against observations in normal conditions, this can't
happen in the presence of a large, sustained SG perturbation for which even
past volcanic eruptions might not be a good analogue. Therefore, the
possibility exists that not all cloud changes observed in climate models as
a response to SG are realistic.

Using both previous findings available in the scientific literature and
novel simulations, an overview of our knowledge so far of how and why
clouds would change under SG conditions is presented, together with an
assessment of the importance of these changes. Finally, some suggestions
for areas of future research related to aerosol-cloud interactions in the
context of sulfate geoengineering are given.

author
Daniele Visioni
Cornell University
Ithaca, NY

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