https://acp.copernicus.org/preprints/acp-2020-965/

Robust winter warming over Eurasia under stratospheric sulfate
geoengineering – the role of stratospheric dynamics
Antara Banerjee et al.
Received: 15 Sep 2020 – Accepted for review: 04 Nov 2020 – Discussion
started: 09 Nov 2020
Abstract. It has been suggested that increased stratospheric sulfate
aerosol loadings following large, low latitude volcanic eruptions can lead
to wintertime warming over Eurasia through dynamical
stratosphere-troposphere coupling. We here investigate the proposed
connection in the context of hypothetical future stratospheric sulfate
geoengineering in the Geoengineering Large Ensemble simulations. In those
geoengineering simulations, we find that stratospheric circulation
anomalies that resemble the positive phase of the Northern Annular Mode in
winter is a distinguishing climate response which is absent when increasing
greenhouse gases alone are prescribed. This stratospheric dynamical
response projects onto the positive phase of the North Atlantic
Oscillation, leading to associated side-effects of this climate
intervention strategy, such as continental Eurasian warming and
precipitation changes. Seasonality is a key signature of the
dynamically-driven surface response. We find an opposite response of the
North Atlantic Oscillation in summer, when no dynamical role of the
stratosphere is expected. The robustness of the wintertime forced response
stands in contrast to previously proposed volcanic responses.

How to cite: Banerjee, A., Butler, A. H., Polvani, L. M., Robock, A.,
Simpson, I. R., and Sun, L.: Robust winter warming over Eurasia under
stratospheric sulfate geoengineering – the role of stratospheric dynamics,
Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2020-965, in
review, 2020.

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