https://tc.copernicus.org/preprints/tc-2020-347/

Brief Communication: Reduction of the future Greenland ice sheet surface
melt with the help of solar geoengineering
Xavier Fettweis et al.
Received: 25 Nov 2020 – Accepted for review: 03 Dec 2020 – Discussion
started: 04 Dec 2020
Abstract. The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) will be losing mass at an
accelerating pace throughout the 21st century, with a direct link between
anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and the magnitude of Greenland mass
loss. Currently, approximately 60 % of the mass loss contribution comes
from surface melt and subsequent meltwater runoff, while 40 % are due to
ice calving. Where most of the surface melt occurs (in the ablation zone),
most of the energy for the surface melt is provided by absorbed shortwave
fluxes, which could be reduced by solar geoengineering measures. However,
so far very little is known about the potential impacts of an artificial
reduction of the incoming solar radiation on the GrIS surface energy budget
and the subsequent change in meltwater production. By forcing the regional
climate model MAR with the latest CMIP6 future scenarios ssp245, ssp585 and
associated G6solar experiment from the Earth System Model CNRM-ESM2-1, we
evaluate the local changes due to the reduction of the solar constant on
the projected GrIS surface mass balance (SMB) decrease. Overall, our
results show that even in case of low mitigation greenhouse gas emissions
scenario (ssp585), the Greenland surface mass loss can be brought in line
with the medium mitigation emissions scenario (ssp245) by reducing the
solar downward flux at the top of the atmosphere by ~40 W/m2 or ~1.5 %
(using the G6solar experiment). In addition to reduce Global Warming in
line with ssp245, G6solar also decreases the efficiency of surface
meltwater production over the Greenland ice sheet by damping the well-known
positive melt-albedo feedback which mitigates the projected Greenland ice
sheet surface melt increase by 6 %. However, only more constraining
geoengineering experiments than G6solar allows to maintain positive SMB
till the end of this century without any reduction in our greenhouse gas
emissions.

How to cite: Fettweis, X., Hofer, S., Séférian, R., Amory, C., Delhasse,
A., Doutreloup, S., Kittel, C., Lang, C., Van Bever, J., Veillon, F., and
Irvine, P.: Brief Communication: Reduction of the future Greenland ice
sheet surface melt with the help of solar geoengineering, The Cryosphere
Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2020-347, in review, 2020

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