Poster's note: another review appears here -
https://progressive.org/magazine/apocalypse-forever-lueders/

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-00333-3

Outstanding reportage from the front lines of geoengineering
In her latest book, Elizabeth Kolbert asks: could some environmental fixes
be worse than the problems?
Gaia Vince

 PDF version
Fisheries technicians use electrofishing techniques to stun Asian Carp
Increasingly madcap measures are being tried to control the invasive Asian
carp in the US midwest.Credit: USACE/Alamy

Under a White Sky: The Nature of the Future Elizabeth Kolbert Crown (2021)

Humans are brilliant at coming up with solutions. But often these bring new
problems that require their own solutions — that bring their own problems.
It’s like the old lady who swallowed a fly in the children’s rhyme.

Civilization, essentially, has been a project to control natural systems: a
river that is in the wrong place for us; earth that is too wet, or not wet
enough; forests that we replace with monocultures of food, and so on. But
natural systems are not compliant, and the unintended consequences of our
changes require further fixes. The result is a world dominated by human
influence, the Anthropocene epoch. Our problems are global and so, too, are
our fixes.

These cascades of geoengineering are the subject of the latest book from
Elizabeth Kolbert, Pulitzer-prizewinning environment reporter at The New
Yorker. Under The White Sky looks at what people are doing to address the
catastrophes that Kolbert described in two previous books — climate change
(Field Notes From A Catastrophe, 2006) and biodiversity loss (The Sixth
Extinction, 2014). She tours a range of cutting-edge experiments, from the
restorative to the radical, across the United States, Europe and Australia.
The result is an arresting montage of just how hard it is to return balance
to our exquisitely interconnected biosphere, and the extraordinary efforts
people go to in the attempt.


Geoengineer polar glaciers to slow sea-level rise
Kolbert visits the mighty Chicago River system in Illinois, which was
re-plumbed to discharge the city’s sewage, with major tributaries rerouted
and even reversed. Here, she documents efforts to prevent an invasive fish
species — deliberately introduced into the Mississippi River basin — from
causing havoc to the newly connected Great Lakes ecosystem. These include
electrifying sections of river, fish-hunting carnivals and a range of
madcap inventions, such as a “disco” noise-and-jet water barrier and sweet
treats used as bait.

Further south, in coastal Louisiana, she finds engineers planning a
multibillion-dollar artificial river system to replicate the former flows
of the powerful Mississippi. Excessive tinkering with the river,
straightening it and creating flood defences, have caused the land to sink
and disappear, because alluvial soils are no longer replenished by regular
sediment dumps. New Orleans is rapidly shrinking; smaller settlements have
already been abandoned. As in her New Yorker essays, this is Kolbert at her
most compelling — producing visceral, engrossing journalism with clear
explanations of both science and social context.

Workers pour chemicals as an aircraft flies over the outskirts of Bangkok
Inside an aircraft attempting to seed clouds in Thailand in 2019.Credit:
Athit Perawongmetha/Reuters

An element of the ridiculous is ever-present in the dance between human
hubris and desperation. Kolbert orchestrates this comic strand with aplomb,
never sacrificing empathy or the humanity of her characters. It is only a
shame that the focus is entirely on problems and solutions in rich
countries, given the global nature of the Anthropocene and the inequity of
its burdens.

Artificial ecosystems
In the Mojave Desert, Nevada, she visits an expensively created, fully
staffed, artificial pond cave, built to try to conserve a minuscule fish
that humans have made critically endangered in the wild. In an aquatic
laboratory in Australia, she observes coral spawning, cued by a simulated
romantic sunset. This is the prelude to an in vitro fertilization programme
that researchers hope will help to save the Great Barrier Reef from its
calamitous decline in the wake of global heating. At one point, Kolbert
wryly notes “how much easier it is to ruin an ecosystem than to run one”.


Developing countries must lead on solar geoengineering research
Kolbert meets genetic engineers hoping to replace struggling species such
as endangered corals with ones modified to tolerate our environmental
changes. Of this dramatic, ecosystem-altering step, one of the researchers
points out: “We’re constantly moving genes around the world, usually in the
form of entire genomes.” Consider the Peruvian potatoes planted in Europe’s
fields or the domestic cats introduced by Europeans to New Zealand, where
they have contributed to the extinction of at least nine native bird
species.

Saving a fish species is hard, a coral-reef ecosystem immeasurably harder,
but the ultimate challenge is fixing the global climate. Kolbert looks at
geoengineering techniques to suck carbon dioxide from the air and store it,
visiting facilities in the United States and Iceland. Options for ‘negative
emissions’ were what finally got the 2015 Paris climate treaty over the
line. The agreement to limit greenhouse-gas emissions factors in solutions
such as planting forests to take up CO2 as they grow, and capturing
industrial emissions at their source, then burying them.

The agreement does not mention more radical ‘hard geoengineering’
techniques to cool the climate, although research has been under way for
decades. Kolbert talks to those studying methods to reflect the Sun’s heat,
including spraying light-scattering calcite into the stratosphere, which
would produce the white sky of the book’s title. This would be a drastic
step. Yet, the extent of global heating brings its own terrible risks,
which geoengineering could alleviate. “Doesn’t it have to be considered?”
she asks, but can’t bring herself to answer.

There’s a grim fatalism to all this. We are so far down this path of global
change that to turn back now is unthinkable, even impossible — like the old
lady of the rhyme, who inevitably swallows the horse. Kolbert lays out this
paradox perfectly. But she does so in the detached manner of an observer:
always the reporter, documenting events but never asserting her own
opinion. The book ends abruptly when the coronavirus ruins her plans for
further research trips, leaving as much unresolved within its pages as
outside them. It is, then, a superb and honest reflection of our
extraordinary time.

Nature 590, 206-207 (2021)

doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-00333-3

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