https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/2/234

Impact of Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering on Meteorological Droughts
in West Africa

Adéchina Eric Alamou, Ezéchiel Obada, Eliézer Iboukoun Biao, Esdras
Babadjidé Josué Zandagba, Casimir Y. Da-Allada, Frederic K. Bonou, Ezinvi
Baloïtcha, Simone Tilmes, Peter J. Irvine

Abstract
This study assesses changes in meteorological droughts in West Africa under
a high greenhouse gas scenario, i.e., a representative concentration
pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5), and under a scenario of stratospheric aerosol
geoengineering (SAG) deployment. Using simulations from the Geoengineering
Large Ensemble (GLENS) project that employed stratospheric sulfate aerosols
injection to keep global mean surface temperature, as well as the
interhemispheric and equator-to-pole temperature gradients at the 2020
level (present-day climate), we investigated the impact of SAG on
meteorological droughts in West Africa. Analysis of the meteorological
drought characteristics (number of drought events, drought duration,
maximum length of drought events, severity of the greatest drought events
and intensity of the greatest drought event) revealed that over the period
from 2030–2049 and under GLENS simulations, these drought characteristics
decrease in most regions in comparison to the RCP8.5 scenarios. On the
contrary, over the period from 2070–2089 and under GLENS simulations, these
drought characteristics increase in most regions compared to the results
from the RCP8.5 scenarios. Under GLENS, the increase in drought
characteristics is due to a decrease in precipitation. The decrease in
precipitation is largely driven by weakened monsoon circulation due to the
reduce of land–sea thermal contrast in the lower troposphere.

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