https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032122001046

Between the sun and us: Expert perceptions on the innovation, policy, and
deep uncertainties of space-based solar geoengineering

Chad M. Baum, Sean Low, Benjamin K. Sovacool

Abstract

Space-based geoengineering is gaining attention, if not necessarily
traction, as a possible “break the glass” solution to mitigate the worst
impacts of climate change and facilitate the transition to a low-carbon
future. Though still on the periphery of discussions around climate
mitigation and geoengineering, space-based methods that would deflect or
block incoming sunlight, and thereby diminish how much radiation ultimately
reaches the Earth, could offer advantages, notably, by avoiding the need
for difficult trade-offs and decisions in terms of land and resource use on
Earth. Aside from a few specialist-oriented studies, the literature on
space-based geoengineering remains limited. In this study, we utilize a
large and diverse expert-interview exercise (N = 125) to provide a first
critical examination of the promise and relevance of space-based
geoengineering for tackling climate change, including perhaps as a source
of renewable energy, its feasibility and prospective risks, as well as key
actors and issues related to commercialization and governance. To our
knowledge, no other study has employed empirical data of any kind to
examine perceptions of space-based geoengineering, let alone in relation to
other kinds of climate-intervention technologies. Not only does the current
research represent the first of its kind, it also provides a foundation for
more informed, comprehensive deliberations around this interesting,
possibly even necessary solution to climate change.

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