The attached Climate Security Timeline shows a new suggestion on climate
priorities.  

 

It calls for a shift away from emission reduction as the main agenda, to
instead focus at global level on albedo enhancement.  Brightening the planet
to reflect more sunlight can stabilise and reverse the movement toward a
hotter world as the foundation of a new climate approach.  Agreed systems to
increase albedo should be in place before 2030.  With a brighter planet as
the foundation, the direct cooling effects make time available to scale up
greenhouse gas conversion and removal to levels well above emissions. By the
2040s, GGC&R can produce steady decline in GHG levels over the second half
of this century.  Carbon dioxide conversion can store hundreds of billions
of tonnes of carbon in valuable locations such as soil, biomass, etc,
reducing the need to sequester as CO2.  Market demand can regulate global
emissions, which at annual scale are a minor factor in radiative forcing
compared to albedo and GHG concentrations.

 

The critical engineering path suggested for the planetary climate is like
building a house.  Albedo is the foundation, greenhouse gas conversions and
removals are the walls, and decarbonisation caps the roof by a future move
away from fossil fuels.  You cannot build walls and roof until you have laid
the foundation.  That creates a timeline whereby global focus on a brighter
world in this decade can replace the sole political emphasis on emissions
and can give practical support to the recognition that removal of
atmospheric carbon is essential.  

 

Without higher albedo, GHG effects cannot cool the planet. Higher albedo can
only be engineered by peaceful global cooperation on new technologies such
as marine cloud brightening. Albedo needs to be addressed first, especially
at the poles,  where refreezing should be an immediate global priority for
climate security.  Turning the polar oceans from dark to light by stopping
the melting of summer ice will make a critical difference in the planetary
energy balance. A main focus on albedo will give time for the slower effects
of GHG conversion, removal and reduction to contribute over the next decades
to a stable and secure and productive planetary climate.  This order of
priorities can sustain the biosphere conditions that have enabled humans and
all other living species to flourish on our planet Earth.

 

Robert Tulip

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