https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/pdf/10.1146/annurev-earth-031920-083456

*Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences*

Vol. 51:- (Volume publication date May 2023)
Review in Advance *first posted online on February 7, 2023.* (Changes may
still occur before final publication.)
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-031920-083456

Authors
Katharine Ricke, Jessica S. Wan, Marissa Saenger, and Nicholas J. Lutsko

Abstract

As atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations rise and climate change
becomes more destructive, geoengineering has become a subject of serious
consideration. By reflecting a fraction of incoming sunlight, solar
geoengineering could cool the planet quickly, but with uncertain effects on
regional climatology, particularly hydrological patterns. Here, we review
recent work on projected hydrologic outcomes of solar geoengineering, in
the context of a robust literature on hydrological responses to climate
change. While most approaches to solar geoengineering are expected to
weaken the global hydrologic cycle, regional effects will vary based on
implementation method and strategy. The literature on the hydrologic
outcomes and impacts of geoengineering demonstrates that its implications
for human welfare will depend on assumptions about underlying social
conditions and objectives of intervention as well as the social lens
through which projected effects are interpreted. We conclude with
suggestions to reduce decision-relevant uncertainties in this novel field
of Earth science inquiry.
▪

The expected hydrological effects of reducing insolation are among the most
uncertain and consequential impacts of solar geoengineering (SG).
▪

Theoretical frameworks from broader climate science can help explain SG's
effects on global precipitation, relative humidity, and other aspects of
hydroclimate.
▪

The state of the knowledge on hydrological impacts of solar geoengineering
is unevenly concentrated among regions.

Projected hydrological impacts from SG are scenario dependent and difficult
to characterize as either harmful or beneficial.

Source: Annual reviews

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