I will register my disagreement: reduction of CH4 should be part of CDR;
you can count on my interest. For purists, let us refer to CH4 as CO2eq.



Peter Flynn



Peter Flynn, P. Eng., Ph. D.

Emeritus Professor and Poole Chair in Management for Engineers

Department of Mechanical Engineering

University of Alberta

Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

1 928 451 4455

[email protected]







*From:* [email protected] <
[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Michael Hayes
*Sent:* Saturday, February 18, 2023 11:12 AM
*To:* Clive Elsworth <[email protected]>
*Cc:* Peter Fiekowsky <[email protected]>; [email protected]; Planetary
Restoration <[email protected]>;
healthy-planet-action-coalition <
[email protected]>; NOAC <
[email protected]>; Healthy Climate Alliance <
[email protected]>;
[email protected] <[email protected]>
<[email protected]>; geoengineering <
[email protected]>
*Subject:* Re: [CDR] Re: [HCA-list] Iron Salt Aerosol: Article in MIT
Technology Review



Clive, I'm aware of the chemistry, yet this is a CDR list not a CH4
mitigation list. Removing CO2 has little involvement with CH4 mitigation.
Use of iron salt is not a CDR method, and it has little if any relation to
CDR policy or economics.



The many CCed groups often welcome any comment on any subject under the
Sun. This list, however, is focused on removing CO2, not second or third
order indirect subjects that can be tacked onto CO2 removal.



Getting things done requires maintaining focus, and the GE list along with
many others like it simply can not maintain focus and thus are of little
use and even less importance. Converting this list to a CC of the GE list
is not needed, yet there seems to be a core group interested in either
taking the moderators' post to do so or simply overrunning the CDR list
with non CDR posts and making the CDR list a defacto non focused GE list. I
object to the petty politics and to the non CDR posts.



Best regards







On Sat, Feb 18, 2023, 7:59 AM Clive Elsworth <[email protected]>
wrote:

Michael



Iron salt aerosol relates indirectly to CDR. Reduced warming from reduced
atmospheric methane would slow the temperature rise of the ocean surface,
curbing the accelerating loss of nutrient mixing owing to surface
stratification. Without nutrients, less phytoplankton are available to
raise ocean surface pH. A higher pH at the ocean surface lowers the partial
pressure of dissolved CO2, increasing the oceanic CO2 absorption rate.



Where there is chlorophyll in the ocean there tend to be marine clouds
also, which provide an additional cooling effect. Thus, a beneficial
feedback cycle is established, or at least the opposite destructive
feedback cycle is curbed.



The addition of iron to the ocean surface is of course highly
controversial, even if it’s by aerosol delivery adding less than 1 mg/m²
per day and with natural fertilisation by desert dust doing the same thing.
Huge areas of abyssal ocean are very low in iron content, so this would
also enable a slightly higher phytoplankton productivity than otherwise -
over vast areas. In areas where iron is not the limiting nutrient, the
addition of a tiny amount more would make essentially no difference.



Clive

On 18/02/2023 14:45 GMT Michael Hayes <[email protected]> wrote:





Again, how does this relate to CDR?



CH4 is not CO2.



The many other groups that have been CCed in this thread are wide open to
any and all chatter about any and all subjects that can pop into people's
minds. This list is about Carbon Dioxide Removal.



How does your comment relate to CDR?



On Fri, Feb 17, 2023, 12:49 PM Peter Fiekowsky <[email protected]> wrote:

Robert-



Good point about the scientists uniformly calling for delaying
implementation, essentially indefinitely, since they don't offer any
criteria for actually starting to restore safe methane levels and protect
against a methane burst.



Do you think this is an ethical issue? Doubling the methane oxidation rate
would result, in 5 years, in methane levels cut roughly in half--bringing
warming back to roughly 2002 levels. This would likely save a million lives
a year lost in the severe hurricanes, floods, wildfires and droughts we
have now. And if today's methane burst gets serious, it could also save a
quarter, or even all of humanity from the kind of extinction event that
happened last time our planet lost the Arctic sea ice.



Even if it's only a 1% chance that history repeats itself (warming is now
happening 10 times faster than during the previous methane burst called the
PETM), statistically that's 8 billion people divided by a 1/1000
probability, or 8 million people we could save.



Is it ethical for climate scientists to make the same claims that health
scientists made for tobacco companies and later that oil company
scientists made about climate actions--that we need undefined "more
research" before acting?



Should we establish a climate ethics committee to discuss this issue
publicly?



Peter



On Fri, Feb 17, 2023 at 4:44 AM <[email protected]> wrote:

This article by James Temple provides a professional overview of efforts to
commercialise Iron Salt Aerosol (ISA).



https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/02/15/1068495/these-startups-hope-to-spray-iron-particles-above-the-ocean-to-fight-climate-change/



It discusses cooling effects of ISA including methane removal, ocean iron
fertilization and marine cloud brightening.   The article comments that a
marine cloud brightening effect “would muddy the line between
greenhouse-gas removal and the more controversial field of solar
geoengineering.”  My view is that taking this as a criticism shows the
incoherence in popular understanding of climate science.  If marine cloud
brightening could be a fast, safe, cheap and effective way to mitigate
dangerous warming, field research of ISA could be a great way to test
this.  Solar geoengineering is no more controversial than ocean iron
fertilization, given that both are under a de facto ban on field research.



The article comments that “if it brightened marine clouds, it would likely
draw greater scrutiny given the sensitivity around geoengineering
approaches that aim to achieve cooling by reflecting away sunlight.”  It
may prove to be the case that ISA could only be deployed by an
intergovernmental planetary cooling agreement of the scale of the Bretton
Woods Agreement of 1944 to establish the IMF and World Bank.  In that
governance scenario, the scrutiny placed on all cooling technologies will
be intense regardless of the balance of effects between brightening and
greenhouse gas removal.



I disagree with the scientists quoted in the article who oppose field
tests. That is a dangerous and complacent attitude, failing to give due
weight to the risks of sudden tipping points that can only be prevented by
albedo enhancement and GHG removal at scale.  Learning by doing is the most
safe and effective strategy.  If there are unexpected effects it is easy to
stop the trials.  The only risk of well governed field tests is that they
would provide information to justify a slower transition from fossil
fuels.  On balance that is not a serious risk, given that emissions are
expected to continue regardless of climate concerns.  Cooling technologies
are essential to balance the ongoing heating, the sooner the better.



I was pleased that the article included my comment that our company decided
not to pursue our ISA field test proposal because the overall political
governance framework is not ready to support this form of geoengineering.
This illustrates that strategic discussion of ethics and governance will
need to be far more advanced before any geoengineering deployment is
possible. I explored these moral themes in a recent discussion note
<https://pdfhost.io/v/nn85Rgk.g_Moral_Perspectives_on_Climate_Policy>
published by the Healthy Planet Action Coalition.



Robert Tulip



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