https://www.researchgate.net/publication/370468285_Quantification_of_tropical_monsoon_precipitation_changes_in_terms_of_interhemispheric_differences_in_stratospheric_sulfate_aerosol_optical_depth



Climate Dynamics
DOI:10.1007/s00382-023-06799-3

*Authors*:
Shinto Roose
Govindasamy Bala
Krishnamohan K. S.
Long Cao
Ken Caldeira

*02 May 2023*

*Abstract*
Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering (SAG) is one of the solar
geoengineering approaches that have been proposed to offset some of the
impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Past studies have shown that SAG
may have adverse impacts on the global hydrological cycle. Using a climate
model, we quantify the sensitivity of the tropical monsoon precipitation to
the meridional distribution of volcanic sulfate aerosols prescribed in the
stratosphere in terms of the changes in aerosol optical depth (AOD). In our
experiments, large changes in summer monsoon precipitation in the tropical
monsoon regions are simulated, especially over the Indian region, in
association with meridional shifts in the location of the intertropical
convergence zone (ITCZ) caused by changes in interhemispheric AOD
differences. Based on our simulations, we estimate a sensitivity of − 1.8°
± 0.0° meridional shift in global mean ITCZ and a 6.9 ± 0.4% reduction in
northern hemisphere (NH) monsoon index (NHMI; summer monsoon precipitation
over NH monsoon regions) per 0.1 interhemispheric AOD difference (NH minus
southern hemisphere). We also quantify this sensitivity in terms of
interhemispheric differences in effective radiative forcing and
interhemispheric temperature differences: 3.5 ± 0.3% change in NHMI per
unit (Wm⁻²) interhemispheric radiative forcing difference and 5.9 ± 0.4%
change per unit (°C) interhemispheric temperature difference. Similar
sensitivity estimates are also made for the Indian monsoon precipitation.
The establishment of the relationship between interhemispheric AOD (or
radiative forcing) differences and ITCZ shift as discussed in this paper
will further facilitate and simplify our understanding of the effects of
SAG on tropical monsoon rainfall.

*Source: ResearchGate *

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