https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2023EF003679

*AUTHORS*
Alistair Duffey
<https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Duffey/Alistair>, Peter
Irvine <https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Irvine/Peter>,
Michel
Tsamados
<https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Tsamados/Michel>, Julienne
Stroeve
<https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/authored-by/Stroeve/Julienne>
First published: *31 May 2023*
https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003679


Abstract

Solar geoengineering refers to proposals, including stratospheric aerosol
injection (SAI), to slow or reverse climate change by reflecting away
incoming sunlight. The rapid changes ongoing in the Arctic and Antarctic,
and the risk of exceeding tipping points in the cryosphere within decades,
make limiting such changes a plausible objective of solar geoengineering.
Here, we review the impacts of SAI on polar climate and cryosphere,
including the dependence of these impacts on the latitude(s) of injection,
and make recommendations for future research directions. SAI would cool the
polar regions and reduce many changes in polar climate under future warming
scenarios. Some under-cooling of the polar regions relative to the global
mean is expected under SAI without high latitude injection, due to
latitudinal variation in insolation and CO2 forcing, the forcing dependence
of the polar lapse rate feedback, and altered atmospheric dynamics. There
are also potential limitations in the effectiveness of SAI to arrest
changes in winter-time polar climate and to prevent sea-level rise from the
Antarctic ice sheet. Finally, we also review the prospects for three other
solar geoengineering proposals targeting the poles: marine cloud
brightening, cirrus cloud thinning, and sea-ice albedo modification.
Sea-ice albedo modification appears unlikely to be viable on pan-Arctic or
Antarctic scales. Whether marine cloud brightening or cirrus cloud thinning
would be effective in the polar regions remains uncertain. Solar
geoengineering is an increasingly prominent proposal and a robust
understanding of its consequences in the polar regions is needed to inform
climate policy in the coming decades.
Key Points


   -

   Global solar geoengineering, if technically feasible, would likely
   reduce the rapid climate change ongoing in the Arctic and Antarctic
   -

   Targeted solar geoengineering strategies would be needed to avoid
   residual warming in the polar regions
   -

   No truly localized polar geoengineering proposal has been shown viable
   for restoring climate on a pan-Arctic or Antarctic scale
   -

   *Source: AGU*

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