https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/14/experts-call-for-global-moratorium-on-efforts-to-geoengineer-climate?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

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Geoengineering <https://www.theguardian.com/environment/geoengineering>
Experts call for global moratorium on efforts to geoengineer climate

Techniques such as solar radiation management may have unintended
consequences, scientists say
Fiona Harvey <https://www.theguardian.com/profile/fiona-harvey> Environment
editor
*Thu 14 Sep 2023*
Governments should place a moratorium on efforts to geoengineer the
planet’s climate, as greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise and the
climate crisis takes hold, a panel of global experts has urged.

Geoengineering is highly controversial, but discussions of its feasibility
are gathering pace as the impacts of extreme weather, driven by climate
breakdown, grip the planet. There is no global agreement on geoengineering,
and no rules on what countries, or businesses, can do.

In a report published on Thursday
<https://www.overshootcommission.org/comingsoon>, the Climate Overshoot
Commission called on governments to phase out fossil fuels, put more
resources into adapting to the impacts of extreme weather, and start using
technologies to remove carbon dioxide, such as carbon capture and storage
and the capture of carbon directly from the air.

Governments should also allow academics to investigate the possibilities of
geoengineering, chiefly in the form of solar radiation management, which
involves attempting to reduce the amount of sunlight striking the Earth’s
surface, for instance through whitening clouds to be more reflective, or
setting up mirrors in space.

But governments should not embark on any such activities, the panel warned,
because of the dangers involved in tinkering with the global climate in
ways that are not yet well understood.

Pascal Lamy, the former chief of the World Trade Organization, who chaired
the Climate Overshoot Commission
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/may/17/climate-geoengineering-must-be-regulated-says-former-wto-head>,
said it was “not inevitable” that the world would overshoot 1.5C, the
global temperature limit governments have agreed, but that the likelihood
was increasing. “It depends on what we do,” he said.

But he warned that the world could not ignore the possibility of
geoengineering, as some countries could start to investigate and experiment
on their own. He said: “There is an increasing international discussion of
solar radiation management. But the danger is of unintended consequences,
and of transboundary consequences
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/aug/08/reflecting-suns-rays-would-cause-crops-to-fail-scientists-warn>.”
Scientists could not say whether solar radiation management was safe, and
the precautionary principle should be applied, he said.

Lamy urged all governments to unilaterally decide on a moratorium, rather
than wait for a global agreement on one. “I do not propose a big
international conference – that would take a lot of time in my experience,”
he told the Guardian, in an interview.

He said academic research on solar radiation management should be shared,
open and transparent.

Geoengineering is a term that can include everything from reforesting large
areas of land to absorb more carbon, to painting rooftops white to be more
reflective, or seeding the ocean with iron to grow more plankton and absorb
more carbon.

The Climate Overshoot Commission, a group of senior former diplomats,
policy experts and scientists including Laurence Tubiana, the former French
diplomat who was one of the main architects of the Paris agreement, focused
on solar radiation management because that is one of the most controversial
and dangerous ideas.

While regrowing trees is usually regarded as safe, putting mirrors in space
to reflect sunlight or seeding clouds to reflect more rays into space could
have huge impacts that would be hard to control, and would be impossible to
confine within country borders. As well as the risks inherent to changing
the climate in one place, there could be a “termination shock” – the
concern that if emissions continued to pour into the atmosphere while geo
engineering was used, stopping use of the technology would cause severe
disruption to the climate as the underlying heating effect took hold again.

Peter Kalmus, a climate scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory
speaking on his own behalf, warned of the danger.

“Geoengineering, like direct air capture, is a deeply uncertain
techno-solution that fossil fuel executives love to push to take pressure
off their core business of selling oil, gas, and coal, which, as more and
more people are realizing, is causing rapid and irreversible destruction of
our planet’s habitability,” he told the Guardian. “Fossil fuel elites will
use geoengineering as an excuse to continue business-as-usual. As a climate
scientist, my worst nightmare is continued fossil fuel expansion
accompanied by solar geoengineering followed by termination shock. This
would be game over for human civilization and much of life on Earth.”

Mark Maslin, professor of earth system science at University College
London, who was not involved with the panel, said many scientists had
strong feelings on geoengineering. “Solar radiation management [efforts]
are dangerous experiments and will cause unpredictable climate change,
because the distribution of solar energy across the Earth is what creates
our dynamic climate,” he said.

“Reducing the solar energy in one region will change how the atmosphere and
oceans move energy from the tropics to the poles in unpredictable ways.”

He added: “A strong international moratorium against solar radiation
management is required, to ensure no country or company tries to ‘fix
climate change’ with disastrous consequences.”

Carbon dioxide removal technologies
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/25/carbon-dioxide-removal-tech-polarising-climate-science>
are
also controversial, though to a far lesser extent than geoengineering. The
panel found that countries should “promote the rapid expansion of
higher-quality carbon dioxide removal”, including placing obligations on
fossil fuel companies to remove and store an increasing proportion of the
carbon generated by their products.

Myles Allen, a professor of geosystem science at the University of Oxford, who
has championed carbon takeback obligations
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jan/12/fossil-fuel-producers-must-be-forced-to-take-back-carbon-say-scientists>,
where the producer has a responsibility to “take back” the carbon dioxide
emitted from their products, said: “With a carbon takeback obligation, we
could stop fossil fuels from causing further global warming in two or three
decades, limiting future warming to less than the warming that has occurred
since 2000, and rendering solar radiation management irrelevant. Without
it, we can’t. So the real choice is not between carbon takeback and fossil
fuel phase-out, but between carbon takeback and solar geoengineering.”

*Source: the Guardian*

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