https://essopenarchive.org/users/540715/articles/642445-possible-mitigation-of-global-cooling-due-to-supervolcanic-eruption-via-intentional-release-of-fluorinated-gases

*Authors*
Yangyang Xu, Nathanael Philip Ribar, Gunnar W Schade, Andrew John Lockley,
Yi Ge Zhang, Jeffrey Sachnik, Pengfei Yu, Jianxin Hu, Guus J.M. Velders

*13 May 2023 (Preprint)*

*Cite as:* Yangyang Xu, Nathanael Philip Ribar, Gunnar W Schade, et al.
Possible Mitigation of Global Cooling due to Supervolcanic Eruption via
Intentional Release of Fluorinated Gases. ESS Open Archive . May 13, 2023.
DOI: 10.22541/essoar.168394777.78277245/v1

*Abstract*
Supervolcanic eruptions induced abrupt global cooling (roughly at a rate of
~1ºC/year lasting for years to decades), such as the prehistoric
Yellowstone eruption released, by some estimates, SO2 about 100 times
higher than the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption. An abrupt global cooling of
several ºC, even if only lasting a few years, would present immediate and
drastic stress on biodiversity and food production - posing a global
catastrophic risk to human society. Using a simple climate model, this
paper discusses the possibility of counteracting supervolcanic cooling with
the intentional release of greenhouse gases. Although well-known
longer-lived compounds such as CO2 and CH₄ are found to be unsuitable for
this purpose, select fluorinated gases (F-gases), either individually or in
combinations, may be released at gigaton scale to offset most of the
supervolcanic cooling. We identify candidate F-gases (viz. C4F6 and CH3F)
and derive radiative and chemical properties of ‘ideal’ compounds matching
specific cooling events. Geophysical constraints on manufacturing and
stockpiling due to mineral availability are considered alongside technical
and economic implications based on present-day market assumptions. The
consequences of F-gas release in perturbing atmospheric chemistry are
discussed in the context of those due to the supervolcanic eruption itself.
The conceptual analysis here suggests the possibility of mitigating certain
global catastrophic risks via intentional intervention.

*Source: ESS OPEN ARCHIVE *

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