https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ad519e/meta

*Authors*
Michelle Simões Reboita, João Gabriel Martins Ribeiro, Natália Machado
Crespo, Rosmeri Portfírio da Rocha, Romaric C Odoulami, Windmanagda
Sawadogo and John C Moore

*Accepted Manuscript online 29 May 2024 *

*Abstract*
Little is known about how climate intervention through stratospheric
aerosol injection (SAI) may affect the climatology of the Southern
Hemisphere extratropical cyclones under warming scenarios. To address this
knowledge gap, we tracked extratropical cyclones from 2015 to 2099 in a set
of projections of three international projects: the Assessing Responses and
Impacts of Solar Climate Intervention on the Earth System with
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (ARISE), the Stratospheric Aerosol
Geoengineering Large Ensemble (GLENS), and the Geoengineering Model
Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP/G6sulfur). Comparisons were performed
between no-SAI and SAI scenarios as well as between different timeslices
and their reference period (2015-2024). Among the findings, both no-SAI and
SAI project a decrease in cyclone frequency towards the end of the century
although weaker under SAI scenarios. On the other hand, cyclones tend to be
stronger under no-SAI scenarios while keeping their intensity more similar
to the reference period under SAI scenarios. This means that under SAI
scenarios the climatology of cyclones is less affected by global warming
than under no-SAI. Other features of these systems, such as travelling
distance, lifetime, and mean velocity show small differences between no-SAI
and SAI scenarios and between reference and future periods.

*Source: IOP SCIENCE*

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