https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-4631758/v1

*Authors*
Simone Tilmes, Asutosh Acharya, Ewa Bednarz, Suvarna Fadnavis

*26 August 2024*

https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4631758/v1

*Abstract*
The South Asian summer monsoon (SAM) bears significant importance for
agriculture, water resources, economy, and environmental aspects of the
region for more than 1.5 billion people. To minimize the adverse impacts of
global warming, Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention (SAI) has been proposed
to lower surface temperatures by reflecting a portion of solar radiation
back into space. However, the effects of SAI on SAM are still very
uncertain and demand more research. We investigate this using the
Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering Large Ensemble datasets. Our study
reveals a reduction in the mean and extreme summer monsoon precipitation
under SAI in this scenario, driven by a combination of the SAI-induced
lower stratospheric warming and the associated weakening of the northern
hemispheric subtropical jet, changes in the upper-tropospheric wave
activities, geopotential height anomalies, and the strength of the Asian
Summer Monsoon Anticyclone. Local dust changes that can otherwise be
important for SAM rainfall variability under climate change also contribute
to changes under SAI. As the interest in SAI research grows, our results
demonstrate the urgent need to understand SAM variability under different
SAI scenarios, which is essential for sustainable development and disaster
preparedness in South Asia.

*Source: Research Square*

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