SOLAR GEOENGINEERING WEEKLY SUMMARY (30 SEPTEMBER - 06 OCTOBER 2024)

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By Andrew Lockley
<https://solargeoengineeringupdates.substack.com?utm_source=substack&utm_campaign=publication_embed&utm_medium=email>
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RESEARCH PAPERSChange in Wind Renewable Energy Potential Under
Stratospheric Aerosol Injections
<https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024EF004575>

Baur, S., Sanderson, B. M., Séférian, R., & Terray, L. (2024). Change in
Wind Renewable Energy Potential under Stratospheric Aerosol Injections.

Wind renewable energy (WRE) is an essential component of the global
sustainable energy portfolio. Recently, there has been increasing
discussion on the potential supplementation of this conventional mitigation
portfolio with Solar Radiation Modification (SRM). However, the impact of
SRM on conventional mitigation measures has received limited attention to
date. In this study, we explore one part of this impact, the potential
effect of one type of SRM, Stratospheric Aerosol Injections (SAI), on WRE.
Using hourly output from the Earth System Model CNRM-ESM2-1, we compare WRE
potential under a medium emission scenario (SSP245) and a high emission
scenario (SSP585) with an SRM scenario that has SSP585 baseline conditions
and uses SAI to offset warming to approximately SSP245 global warming
levels. Our results suggest that SAI may affect surface wind resources by
modifying large-scale circulation patterns, such as a significant poleward
jet-shift in the Southern Hemisphere. The modeled total global WRE
potential is negligibly reduced under SAI compared to the SSP-scenarios.
However, regional trends are highly variable, with large increases and
decreases in WRE potential frequently reaching 12% across the globe with
SAI. This study highlights potential downstream effects of SRM on climatic
elements, such as wind patterns, and offers perspectives on its
implications for our mitigation efforts.

Regional impacts of solar radiation modification on surface temperature and
precipitation in Mainland Southeast Asia and the adjacent oceans
<https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-73149-6>

Narenpitak, P., Kongkulsiri, S., Tomkratoke, S., & Sirisup, S. (2024).
Regional impacts of solar radiation modification on surface temperature and
precipitation in Mainland Southeast Asia and the adjacent oceans. *Scientific
Reports*, *14*(1), 22713.

*Abstract*

Solar radiation modification (SRM) has been proposed to temporarily reduce
anthropogenic warming. This study presents an assessment of the regional
impacts of SRM via solar dimming and stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI)
on temperature and precipitation over 0°–30° N and 90° E–110° E, covering
Mainland Southeast Asia and adjacent oceans. Using data from the
Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (GeoMIP6), we examine
regional impacts of SRM using three SRM experiments: (1) G6Sulfur, which
reduces radiative forcing from the high-emission SSP5–8.5 scenario to the
moderate-emission SSP2–4.5 scenario by injecting sulfate aerosols; (2)
G6Solar, which similarly reduces radiative forcing from the high-emission
to moderate-emission scenarios but by uniformly reducing the solar
constant; and (3) G1ext, which reduces radiative forcing from a quadrupled
carbon dioxide concentration to pre-industrial levels by uniform solar
constant reduction. Our findings show that higher greenhouse gas emissions
increase overall precipitation, along with tendencies to have extreme
rainfall events and more dry episodes in between. While SRM can partially
cool down the surface temperature warming caused by increased greenhouse
gas emissions, its effects on precipitation are complex: Solar dimming in
G6Solar and G1ext tends to reduce overall precipitation, and tropical
sulfate injection in G6Sulfur could lead to further drying in the tropics
because of the stratospheric warming associated with the injected aerosols.
Different SRM strategies might result in different responses on
precipitation.

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WEB POSTSThe Solar Geoengineering Updates Newsletter (September'2024)
<https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=1945767&post_id=149769674&utm_source=post-email-title&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=22k0yw&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxMjUyMjU5NjAsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE0OTc2OTY3NCwiaWF0IjoxNzI3OTgzODA1LCJleHAiOjE3MzA1NzU4MDUsImlzcyI6InB1Yi0xOTQ1NzY3Iiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.9cbR3c3WleK1Y_bN_PggYSm6Uxji4vSMpzBshruFFrk>
Solar Geoengineering Updates
The Solar Geoengineering Updates Newsletter (September'2024)
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4 days ago · 2 likes · Andrew Lockley
How solar geoengineering could disrupt wind and solar power
<https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-solar-geoengineering-could-disrupt-wind-and-solar-power/>
(Carbon Brief) Solar radiation modification: NOAA State of the Science
factsheet
<https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/solar-radiation-modification-noaa-state-science-factsheet>
(Climate.gov)Accelerating climate intervention research to improve climate
security
<https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-research-reports/issue-brief/accelerating-climate-intervention-research-to-improve-climate-security/>
(Atlantic Council)
[image: Diagram of temperature trajectory with and without SRM]
<https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd3bf8e81-5d7c-40c3-acbb-acb5b32b3dd0_620x410.gif>
Schematic
diagram representing the concept of peak-shaving. Different lines
illustrate the global mean temperatures for future scenarios. Blue arrows
represent the relative magnitude of the temperature impact of stratospheric
aerosol injection (SAI).
<https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/solar-radiation-modification-noaa-state-science-factsheet>
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UPCOMING EVENTS(NEW) How to Cover Geoengineering by Mongabay
<https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdaGJExlWMEtGzFMaZdbrXC5CWtHIZAHGu71aQeqcbwwyLkag/viewform>
| 10 October 2024 | Online(NEW) Solar Climate Intervention Virtual
Symposia#13 <https://sites.google.com/view/solargeo-symposium/home> | 11
October 2024 | Online*Modifying Solar Radiation
<https://sosvclimatetech.com/agenda/> | 14 October 2024 | Online*

Discovery workshop focussing on atmospheric science (SRM) | 18 October 2024
| OnlineIntegrative synthesis workshop focusing on identifying gaps in
current governance & ethics | 18 November 2024 | Online

*(NEW) Climate Repair Seminar Series - Autumn 2024
<https://www.tickettailor.com/events/centreforclimaterepair1/1253490>*

1: On the bright side: new developments in Marine Cloud Brightening
technology | 16 October 20242: Field trials for a cooler planet: sea, sky
and ice | 23 October 20243: Ethics and Governance (title TBA) | 06 November
20244: Good COP, Bad COP: a post-COP29 assessment | 27 November 2024

*2025 Solar Radiation Management Annual Meeting by Simons Foundation
<https://www.simonsfoundation.org/event/solar-radiation-management-annual-meeting-2025/>
| 24-25 April 2025 | New York **The 2025 Degrees Global Forum
<https://substack.com/redirect/8521c00b-652a-4d78-822f-7ae393c57068?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>
|
12-16 May 2025 | Cape Town, South Africa**Artic Repair Conference 2025 by
University of Cambridge & Center for Climate Repair
<https://substack.com/redirect/90f81f14-d09c-4418-8d97-c6621d753433?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>
|
26-28 June 2025 | Cambridge UK**ge UK*

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PODCASTSIs cirrus thinning dead? Jeggle | Reviewer 2 does Geoengineering

Is cirrus thinning dead? Jeggle

Reviewer 2 does geoengineering

57:49
<https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/is-cirrus-thinning-dead-jeggle/id1529459393?i=1000671906069&uo=4>

"Kai Jeggle explains to @geoengineering1 how off-target effects of cirrus
cloud thinning mean that it can never be used effectively. Paper; Jeggle,
K., Neubauer, D., Binder, H., and Lohmann, U.: Cirrus formation regimes –
Data driven identification and quantification of mineral dust effect,
EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2559, 2024."

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YOUTUBE VIDEOSHarvard @ Climate Week NYC | Time to Think About Solar
Geoengineering? | The Salata Institute at Harvard University
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lrn75h8Gnc>

"A thought-provoking discussion on the emerging and controversial topic of
solar geoengineering. This event brought together renowned experts to
explore the broader context of climate change and the rising interest in
solar geoengineering.

*Topics Covered:*

-What are the scientific and engineering challenges of solar
geoengineering?

-How should we think about the ethical and cultural dimensions of solar
geoengineering? Why does this technological approach seem frightening to
many experts?

-Why is solar geoengineering receiving more attention in recent years? Does
it imply that the decarbonization is failing?

-What are the geopolitical challenges of solar geoengineering? Will this
interfere with the international climate agreements?

-How should universities engage with solar geoengineering? What are the
research challenges for the next decade?"

The Geopolitics of Geoengineering with Cynthia Scharf | Climate Chat
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8yxFMMY8GnA>

"In this Climate Chat episode, we will discuss the need for governance of
both research and deployment of solar geoengineering, aka, Solar Radiation
Management (SRM) with Cynthia Scharf who is senior advisor to the
International Center for Future Generations, a European think tank, where
she leads their work on climate intervention technologies."

Operaatio Arktis: Interview with Clara Botto, 2024 | Operaatio Arktis
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ynDHeXjR934>

"Clara has been engaged with sustainable development at a grassroots and
international level, from arts to politics, for the past 9 years. Clara
works in Just Deliberation on Solar Geoengineering (DSG) and for the period
2024-2025 she is also working as a fellow with the Communications team of
the UNFCCC and UNU-EHS. Above all that Clara Botto is our friend and dear
colleague who wants to save the world as much as we want.

We discussed fears and concerns about Solar Radiation Modification
research. Who needs to be discussing these things on the decision making
tables? Are we there yet? Let’s find out."

Episode 636 Governing Geoengineering | ToSaveTheWorld
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=omkvyaJGCfA>

"Daniel Bodansky and Jesse Reynolds are both professors of international
law. Robert Chris is a geography professor and advocate of geoengineering.
All three guests worry that there is no strong constituency demanding
faster adoption of climate repair, for it is urgently needed."

Varisha Khan: Interview with SRM Youth Watch | SRM Youth Watch
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t84aQGXzIBw>

"Varisha Khan is an MSc student of Health Informatics working as a Research
Associate under a project at COMSATS University, Islamabad. The institute
has a leading team devoted to climate action in the context of
geoengineering, focusing on the Global South. Varisha’s goal is to
scrutinise the “Trade-off Based Impacts of SRM on Malaria Distribution
across South Asia, particularly Pakistan"."

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DEADLINES*(NEW) Call for Proposals—Exploring Climate Cooling
<https://www.aria.org.uk/exploring-climate-cooling/> | Deadline to submit
concept paper by 07 October 2024 | Full Proposal deadline is 09 December
2024**Funding opportunity: Modelling environmental responses to solar
radiation management by Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) |
Deadline to apply: 08 October 202
<https://substack.com/redirect/e597c89e-93b9-4014-8dc6-d7ac6131b3ce?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>4*Call
for Submission—Repair Conference 2025 by Centre for Climate Repair
<https://substack.com/redirect/121ec65b-6f50-4f20-8ff1-628de217ee3b?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>
|
Deadline: 31 October 2024

Applications for presentations and posters are required in the following
areas:-Stratospheric Aerosol Injection-Marine Cloud Brightening-Seabed
Curtains-Sea Ice Thickening-Space Sun Shades-Other Arctic Repair Topics
(e.g. glacier drainage, land surface albedo enhancement, cirrus cloud
thinning, ocean foaming etc.)

*(NEW) NOAA request for comments on potential solar radiation modification
research regulation
<https://groups.google.com/g/geoengineering/c/rDVllJ4FaNI>* | Deadline 19
November 2024*Submit your recent research on Solar Radiation Management to
new ES: Atmospheres collection
<https://substack.com/redirect/af9e032d-e856-4ef4-a71c-2c359687818d?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>
|
Deadline: 31 January 2025*

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