https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-3232/

*Authors*
Ehsan Erfani, Robert Wood, Peter Blossey, Sarah J. Doherty, and Ryan Eastman

*How to cite*. Erfani, E., Wood, R., Blossey, P., Doherty, S. J., and
Eastman, R.: Building a comprehensive library of observed Lagrangian
trajectories for testing modeled cloud evolution, aerosol-cloud
interactions, and marine cloud brightening, EGUsphere [preprint],
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3232, 2024.

*Received: 16 Oct 2024 – Discussion started: 28 Oct 2024*

*Abstract*
As marine low clouds’ evolution is sensitive to the current state of the
atmosphere and varying meteorological forcing, it is crucial to ascertain
how cloud responses differ across a spectrum of those conditions. In this
study, we introduce an innovative approach to encompass a wide array of
conditions prevalent in low marine cloud regions by creating a
comprehensive library of observed environmental conditions. Using
reanalysis and satellite data, over 2200 Lagrangian trajectories are
generated within the stratocumulus deck region of the Northeast Pacific
during summer 2018–2021. By using 8 important cloud-controlling factors
(CCFs), we employ Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to reduce the
dimensionality of data. This technique demonstrates that two principal
components capture 43 % of the variability among CCFs. Notably, PCA
facilitates the selection of a reduced number of trajectories (e.g., 54)
that represent a diverse array of the observed CCF, aerosol, and cloud
variability and co-variability. These trajectories can then be used for
process model studies, e.g., with Large-Eddy Simulations (LES), to evaluate
the efficacy of Marine Cloud Brightening. Two distinct cases are selected
to initiate two-day-long, high-resolution, large-domain LES experiments.
The results highlight the ability of our LES to simulate observed
conditions. Although perturbed aerosols delay cloud breakup and enhance
cloud radiative effect, the strength of such effects is sensitive to
“precipitation-aerosol feedback”. The first case is precipitating and shows
the potential for “precipitation-driven” cloud breakup due to positive
precipitation-aerosol feedback. The second case is non-precipitating with
classic cloud breakup of “deepening-warming” type, highlighting the impact
of entrainment.

*Source: EGUsphere*

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