https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/20/5147

*Authors*
Ashitosh Rajesh Varne, Simon Blouin, Baxter Lorenzo McIntosh Williams, and
David Denkenberger

https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205147

*16 October 2024*

*Abstract*
To combat global warming, energy systems are transitioning to generation
from renewable sources, such as wind and solar, which are sensitive to
climate conditions. While their output is expected to be little affected by
global warming, wind, and solar electricity generation could be affected by
more drastic climatic changes, such as abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios
(ASRSs) caused by nuclear war (“nuclear winter”) or supervolcanic eruptions
(“volcanic winter”). This paper assesses the impacts of an ASRS on global
energy supply and security in a 100% renewable energy scenario. National
generation mixes are determined according to roadmaps for a global
transition to renewable energy, with wind and solar contributing a combined
94% of the global energy supply. Wind and solar generation are determined
for a baseline climate and an ASRS following a large-scale nuclear
exchange. While effects vary by country, overall wind and solar generation
are expected to reduce by 59% in the first year following an ASRS,
requiring over a decade for full recovery. Ensuring sufficient energy for
everyone’s critical needs, including water, food, and building
heating/cooling, would require international trade, resilient food
production, and/or resilient energy sources, such as wood, geothermal,
nuclear power, tidal power, and hydropower.

*Source: MDPI*

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