https://helda.helsinki.fi/items/a0a3a863-a280-4717-88d1-08c8af10a7ea

*Authors*
Ellen Aleksandra Haaslahti

*2024*

*Abstract*
The world is approaching 1.5 C of global average temperature rise which
marks a limit for ever more severe impacts from climate change. In climate
science and policy spheres, Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) is
increasingly being discussed based on its potential to rapidly reduce
negative impacts as a complementary approach with decarbonization.
Different technological approaches have been suggested to increase the
amount of sunlight that is reflected to space. The scientific community is
divided regarding potential benefits, risks and concerns linked to SRM,
which makes it more difficult to foresee future trajectories and create
governance for SRM activities. Understanding how experts perceive SRM
research and deployment in relation to the broader range of climate
response strategies and goals is important as it has critical policy
implications in terms of the future of SRM technologies.
This thesis studies the perceptions of climate change experts in Finland
focusing on two of the most studied SRM approaches: stratospheric aerosol
injection (SAI) and marine cloud brightening (MCB). Real-Time Delphi was
applied to gather data among a small expert panel whose arguments were
examined with qualitative content analysis through a constructive approach.
A process model was produced to describe how 1) scientific and governance
conditions, 2) attitudes, beliefs and feelings, 3) environmental and
technological concerns, and 4) navigating climate scenarios and response
strategies influence expert perceptions on SRM. The experts expressed
consistent support for indoor research and small-scale field experiments
around the two SRM methods arguing for precautionary approaches regarding
climate emergency situations. SRM deployment was largely seen as
undesirable. General pessimism towards global governance systems and
climate action as well as solving justice issues was highlighted in the
study. In the face of such radical uncertainties and social, technical, and
ecological concerns, open dialogue about different perceptions on SRM can
contribute to reflective, anticipatory, inclusive, and responsive policy
making.

*Source: Helsinki*

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