SOLAR GEOENGINEERING WEEKLY SUMMARY (30 DECEMBER 2024 - 05 JANUARY 2024)

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RESEARCH PAPERSNumerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in Arid
Cities <https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/1/285>

Hoback, A. S. (2024). Numerical Fit Modeling for Temperature Mitigation in
Arid Cities. *Applied Sciences*, *15*(1), 285.

*Abstract*

The purpose of the study is to develop a general method to predict local
temperature changes from mitigating the urban heat island effect using
local climate engineering. Specifically, the effects of a plume of calcite
particles above cities have been found. Previous modeling work has been
carried out with supercomputers, but those models have limited geographies
and timelines. The main goal of this work is to produce a method that can
be applied more generally and more quickly. This overcomes limited modeling
data in arid regions. Arid cities show the most effective use of calcite
plumes for local solar radiation management, but those areas have limited
data. The new method is to use numerical fit techniques using actual
weather data. The default heating and cooling rates are fit to historic
rates, and then the radiative properties of the calcite are used to predict
the change in the heat transfer rates. Air temperatures at a standard
height of 2 m are predicted. The key findings are that the numerical fit
gives comparable results to the full supercomputer model, but the numerical
fit gives predictions of greater temperature change. This was explained as
primarily due to how advection is handled differently by the methods.
Adjustments in the methods are discussed so that the effect of advection is
included. The conclusion is that numerical fit provides a method that can
easily be applied to arid regions.

Solar geoengineering research faces geopolitical deadlock
<https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adr9237>

McLaren, D., & Corry, O. (2025). Solar geoengineering research faces
geopolitical deadlock. *Science*, *387*(6729), 28-30.

*Abstract*

As a powerful potential lever on global temperatures, solar
geoengineering—or solar radiation modification (SRM)—comes with formidable
environmental and political risks. Assessments of SRM acknowledge that
future governance of “direction, ownership and control” [(1), p. 45] is no
optional extra: Outcomes achieved in modeling studies presuppose governance
“to restrain harmful or unjust use of SRM…and assess and minimize any
countervailing harms” [(2), p. 6]. But, although research is deemed urgent,
the “guardrails” and institutions needed remain moot (3) or are deferred
for later (4). Tentative efforts toward international cooperation and
oversight collapsed most recently in February 2024. Drawing upon
observations of the United Nations Environment Assembly (UNEA), we set out
how clashing geopolitical interests and diverging knowledge politics are
making even research controversial. Although the differences seem
irreconcilable, we suggest that apparent consensus around nondeployment of
geoengineering could be seized upon to provide some hope for coordinated
and responsible SRM research.

Solar Geoengineering: Trials, Innovation, Investments and the Need for
Governance <https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5068179>

Ramos, Y., & Santos, F. D. (2024). Solar Geoengineering: Trials,
Innovation, Investments and the Need for Governance. *Innovation,
Investments and the Need for Governance (December 22, 2024)*.

*Abstract*

Solar geoengineering has emerged as a potential tool to mitigate climate
change by reflecting solar radiation back into space. The rapid development
of technologies such as Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) and other
Solar Radiation Management (SRM) methods has resulted in a growing number
of patents, pilot projects, and private or state-driven investments.
However, these advancements are often shrouded in secrecy, raising concerns
about transparency, ethical responsibility, and the absence of inclusive
governance frameworks. While geoengineering solutions may offer promise,
the risk of exacerbating global inequalities-particularly for the Global
Southremains significant. This paper examines current patents, investments,
and trials in solar geoengineering, highlights their implications for
international climate governance, and underscores the urgent need for a
sound, ethical, and transparent global regulatory framework to ensure
equity and accountability.

Under a not so white sky: visual impacts of stratospheric aerosol injection
<https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ada2ae/meta>

Lemon, A., Keith, D. W., & Albers, S. C. (2024). Under a not so white sky:
visual impacts of stratospheric aerosol injection. *Environmental Research
Letters*.

*Abstract*

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) could change the sky's appearance.
This could play a role in shaping public perception of SAI. Noticeability
depends strongly on tropospheric aerosol optical depth (AOD) and the amount
of SAI used. We aim to quantify the noticeability of changes in sky color
and brightness due to SAI. We use a 3-D visible light radiative transfer
package to generate cloudless sky images during high sun, sunset, and
twilight under SAI from the reference point of a ground observer. We
consider three aerosol types: H2SO4, CaCO3, and diamond. We consider
stratospheric aerosol loadings required to produce radiative forcings of
-1, -2, and -4 W m-2. We use population density and AOD data to compute the
distribution of AODs people experience and then simulate sky images for the
10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of that distribution. We compare the
simulated changes in color and brightness to experimental measurements of
minimum thresholds humans can detect. The three aerosol types cause similar
changes, except most notably the diamond aerosol increases brightness of
the solar aureole by roughly three to five times less than do H2SO4 or
CaCO3. During high sun, sky whitening from sulfate SAI at -2 W m-2 is
undetectable for roughly half of observers chosen randomly from the global
population. For the remainder of the population, we expect whitening to
still be unnoticeable for all but perhaps the most astute observers aided
by color samples. Brightening and enlargement of the solar aureole is the
most visible feature during high sun for H2SO4 and CaCO3, while changes
near twilight would be the most noticeable impact of SAI. We cannot
evaluate the fraction of the population who would notice these changes.

Turning Deserts into Paradises: Geoengineering in Science, Practice, and
Fiction in the 19th and Early 20th Centuries
<https://diamond-oa.lib.cam.ac.uk/entities/publication/74494250-f7d6-406b-b157-71b5248dbfbb>

Lagercrantz, O. (2024). Turning Deserts into Paradises: Geoengineering in
Science, Practice, and Fiction in the 19th and Early 20th Centuries.

*Abstract*

This article studies the history of geoengineering in the West in the 19th
and early 20th centuries in science, practice, and fiction. Visions of
geoengineering at the time, it is argued, were shaped by the birth of
climatology, colonial practices and ideals, and widespread techno-optimism.
The mutual entanglement of humans and climate was recognised, inspiring
speculation over utopian possibilities but also existential threats posed
by geoengineering. In light of this history, it is suggested that there is
a need to discard framings of geoengineering as a new approach to tackling
climate change, rethink simplistic conceptions of Western modernity, and
recognise the inherently political nature of technological visions.

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UPCOMING EVENTS(NEW) Solar Climate Intervention Virtual Symposia #15
<https://sites.google.com/view/solargeo-symposium/home> | 17 January 2025 |
Online*Solar radiation modification: What should Europe’s strategy be? by
Scientific Advice Mechanism to the European Commission
<https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_zMVEie0PThCasf0lFO_FSw#/registration>
| 23 January 2025 | Online**Solar Radiation Modification: What’s at stake
for society? by Scientific Advice Mechanism to the European Commission
<https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_Sra0pIz1Q7KeHjzxHOaMFQ#/registration>
| 03 February 2025 | Online**Climate Intervention: Distraction or
Necessity? by Center for Climate Repair
<https://www.climaterepair.cam.ac.uk/events/climate-intervention-distraction-or-necessity>
| 21 March 2025**2025 Solar Radiation Management Annual Meeting by Simons
Foundation
<https://www.simonsfoundation.org/event/solar-radiation-management-annual-meeting-2025/>
| 24-25 April 2025 | New York**The 2025 Degrees Global Forum
<https://substack.com/redirect/8521c00b-652a-4d78-822f-7ae393c57068?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>
| 12-16 May 2025 | Cape Town, South Africa**Artic Repair Conference 2025 by
University of Cambridge & Center for Climate Repair
<https://substack.com/redirect/90f81f14-d09c-4418-8d97-c6621d753433?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>
| 26-28 June 2025 | Cambridge UK*

Solar Geoengineering Events Calendar <https://teamup.com/ks64mmvtit583eitxx>
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PODCASTSSRM experts' opinions - McEvoy | Reviewer 2 does geoengineering

SRM experts' opinions - McEvoy

Reviewer 2 does geoengineering

1:00:42
<https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/srm-experts-opinions-mcevoy/id1529459393?i=1000682697196&uo=4>

“David McEvoy discusses expert opinions on SRM. What do they think, and how
do we know? The strategic and governance implications of solar radiation
modification: perspectives from delegates of international climate
negotiations Todd L Cherry et al 2025 Environ. Res. Lett. 20 014053 DOI
10.1088/1748-9326/ad9d62”

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YOUTUBE VIDEOSCould there be a just solar geoengineering?—w/ Shuchi Talati,
Founder of The Alliance for Just Deliberation on Solar Geoengineering |
Reversing Climate Change <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVXylzBrcMk>

"Solar geoengineering. It's not just a question of whether or not to do it,
but of how it might be done and why.

This week we are joined by Shuchi Talati, founder of The Alliance for Just
Deliberation on Solar Geoengineering, to talk about who is making decisions
about solar geoengineering and whether or not populations most vulnerable
to climate change have a seat at the table.

Solar geoengineering or “Solar Radiation Modification/Management (SRM)” is
the large-scale and intentional intervention to increase the amount of
sunlight reflected back into space. The purpose is to temporarily limit
temperature increase.

Shuchi walks us through why the Alliance is not for or against SRM, why
refusing to discuss or research RSM is potentially an inherently privileged
standpoint, and why she believes we should center voices from regions
already experiencing horrific climate impacts.

Shuchi walks us through why the Alliance is not for or against SRM, why
refusing to discuss or research RSM is potentially an inherently privileged
standpoint, and why she believes we should center voices from regions
already experiencing horrific climate impacts.

Listen in to find out who is currently researching SRM, what the potential
risks and benefits are, and how the Alliance plans to make such a
controversial topic more open and accessible."

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