https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-5901920/v1

*Authors*
Yang Cao, Hao Wang, Yannian Zhu, Minghuai Wang, Daniel Rosenfeld, Chen
Zhou, Zhonghua Zheng, Hugh Coe, David Topping, Jihu Liu, Kang-En Huang,
Yuan Liang, Haipeng Zhang, Heming Bai, Man Yue

https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5901920/v1

*12 February 2025*

*Abstract*
Over the past two decades, anthropogenic emission reductions and global
warming have impacted marine low clouds through aerosol-cloud interactions
(ACI) and cloud feedback, yet their quantitative contributions remain
unclear. This study employs a deep learning model (CNNMet−Nd) and Community
Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) to disentangle these effects.
CNNMet−Nd reveals that aerosol-driven changes in cloud droplet number
concentration dominate near-global marine low cloud shortwave radiative
effect changes (ΔCRE), contributing 0.42 ± 0.08 Wm⁻² per 20 years, compared
to 0.05 ± 0.37 Wm⁻² from cloud feedback. CESM2 effectively reproduces the
predominant influence of aerosol reductions on ΔCRE by CNNMet−Nd, lending
us confidence for a stronger estimate of global effective radiative forcing
due to ACI (ERFaci) of -1.29 Wm⁻² since the preindustrial era. These
findings highlight the critical role of ACI in shaping marine low cloud
trends and its broader climate implications, especially under ongoing
emission reduction efforts.

*Source: ResearchSquare*

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